Shailene Woodley leads trader consensus for Outstanding Guest Actress in a Drama Series with a 39% implied probability, driven by her emotionally resonant four-episode arc as Annie Clay in Hulu’s post-apocalyptic series Paradise, where her performance earned strong industry notice and a nomination shortly after the July 8 announcement. Multiple The Pitt entries, including Brittany Allen’s self-submitted role as terminally ill patient Roxie Hamler, create a competitive bloc at 18% that benefits from the show’s procedural intensity and guild-adjacent buzz, though split votes among its three nominees dilute individual chances. Precursor momentum favors Woodley’s star power and limited but high-impact submission over ensemble-heavy campaigns, with voting likely intensifying ahead of the September ceremony.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding guest actress in a drama series
Shailene Woodley – “Paradise” 39.2%
Brittany Allen – “The Pitt” 18.4%
Tal Anderson – “The Pitt” 10.4%
Miriam Shor – “Pluribus” 6.6%
$25,836 Vol.
$25,836 Vol.
Shailene Woodley – “Paradise”
39%
Brittany Allen – “The Pitt”
18%
Tal Anderson – “The Pitt”
10%
Miriam Shor – “Pluribus”
7%
Merritt Wever – “The Gilded Age”
8%
Tina Ivlev – “The Pitt”
6%
Shailene Woodley – “Paradise” 39.2%
Brittany Allen – “The Pitt” 18.4%
Tal Anderson – “The Pitt” 10.4%
Miriam Shor – “Pluribus” 6.6%
$25,836 Vol.
$25,836 Vol.
Shailene Woodley – “Paradise”
39%
Brittany Allen – “The Pitt”
18%
Tal Anderson – “The Pitt”
10%
Miriam Shor – “Pluribus”
7%
Merritt Wever – “The Gilded Age”
8%
Tina Ivlev – “The Pitt”
6%
This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actress in a drama series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Shailene Woodley leads trader consensus for Outstanding Guest Actress in a Drama Series with a 39% implied probability, driven by her emotionally resonant four-episode arc as Annie Clay in Hulu’s post-apocalyptic series Paradise, where her performance earned strong industry notice and a nomination shortly after the July 8 announcement. Multiple The Pitt entries, including Brittany Allen’s self-submitted role as terminally ill patient Roxie Hamler, create a competitive bloc at 18% that benefits from the show’s procedural intensity and guild-adjacent buzz, though split votes among its three nominees dilute individual chances. Precursor momentum favors Woodley’s star power and limited but high-impact submission over ensemble-heavy campaigns, with voting likely intensifying ahead of the September ceremony.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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