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icon for Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series

Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series

icon for Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series

Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series

Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” 35%

Bradley Whitford – “The Diplomat” 25.4%

Ernest Harden Jr. – “The Pitt” 17.6%

Jonathan Pryce – “Slow Horses” 7.9%

Polymarket

$53,422 Vol.

Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” 35%

Bradley Whitford – “The Diplomat” 25.4%

Ernest Harden Jr. – “The Pitt” 17.6%

Jonathan Pryce – “Slow Horses” 7.9%

Polymarket

$53,422 Vol.

Colman Domingo – “Euphoria”

$36,905 Vol.

35%

Bradley Whitford – “The Diplomat”

$3,990 Vol.

25%

Ernest Harden Jr. – “The Pitt”

$4,224 Vol.

18%

Jonathan Pryce – “Slow Horses”

$1,738 Vol.

8%

Jeff Kober – “The Pitt”

$3,251 Vol.

8%

Jeff Hiller – “Pluribus”

$3,313 Vol.

7%

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Colman Domingo’s market lead at 34.5% implied probability reflects his status as the frontrunner, driven by Euphoria’s prestige, his established awards profile as an Oscar nominee, and strong critical buzz for his guest turn in the show’s recent season. Bradley Whitford trails at 25.4% on the strength of his prior Emmy win and The Diplomat’s established voter familiarity, while the two The Pitt performers split support at 17.8% and 8.6% amid the medical drama’s nomination surge and guild momentum. Jonathan Pryce and Jeff Hiller sit lower, constrained by Slow Horses’ more niche Apple audience and Pluribus’ limited visibility. With the September ceremony approaching, final guild voting and any late precursor signals could still shift the tight race.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$53,422
End Date
Sep 14, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 8:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Colman Domingo’s market lead at 34.5% implied probability reflects his status as the frontrunner, driven by Euphoria’s prestige, his established awards profile as an Oscar nominee, and strong critical buzz for his guest turn in the show’s recent season. Bradley Whitford trails at 25.4% on the strength of his prior Emmy win and The Diplomat’s established voter familiarity, while the two The Pitt performers split support at 17.8% and 8.6% amid the medical drama’s nomination surge and guild momentum. Jonathan Pryce and Jeff Hiller sit lower, constrained by Slow Horses’ more niche Apple audience and Pluribus’ limited visibility. With the September ceremony approaching, final guild voting and any late precursor signals could still shift the tight race.

The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California

This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”.

If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$53,422
End Date
Sep 14, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 8:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California This market will resolve according to the person who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding guest actor in a drama series”. If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Colman Domingo – “Euphoria”" at 35%, followed by "Bradley Whitford – “The Diplomat”" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series" has generated $53.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 9, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series" is "Colman Domingo – “Euphoria”" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bradley Whitford – “The Diplomat”" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.