Elon Musk’s established posting rhythm of roughly 20–30 original posts, quotes, and reposts per day anchors trader expectations for the September 22–29 window near the 200–239 brackets. Recent momentum from the Grok 4.7 rollout and Starship Flight 14 targeting September 22 has already generated visible clusters of commentary, keeping volume elevated without the extreme spikes seen in prior high-news weeks. The tight pricing across the top four brackets reflects uncertainty over whether routine engagement or additional aerospace and AI developments will push totals higher, while historical patterns show quiet stretches can drop counts into the low 180s. Traders are monitoring daily chart updates and any new regulatory or launch milestones as the key swing factors before the week closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated200-219 23%
220-239 21%
180-199 17%
240-259 16%
$322,711 Vol.
$322,711 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
1%
140-159
3%
160-179
8%
180-199
17%
200-219
23%
220-239
21%
240-259
16%
260-279
10%
280-299
3%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
200-219 23%
220-239 21%
180-199 17%
240-259 16%
$322,711 Vol.
$322,711 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
1%
140-159
3%
160-179
8%
180-199
17%
200-219
23%
220-239
21%
240-259
16%
260-279
10%
280-299
3%
300-319
2%
320-339
1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 19, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s established posting rhythm of roughly 20–30 original posts, quotes, and reposts per day anchors trader expectations for the September 22–29 window near the 200–239 brackets. Recent momentum from the Grok 4.7 rollout and Starship Flight 14 targeting September 22 has already generated visible clusters of commentary, keeping volume elevated without the extreme spikes seen in prior high-news weeks. The tight pricing across the top four brackets reflects uncertainty over whether routine engagement or additional aerospace and AI developments will push totals higher, while historical patterns show quiet stretches can drop counts into the low 180s. Traders are monitoring daily chart updates and any new regulatory or launch milestones as the key swing factors before the week closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions