Elon Musk’s posting pace on X during the September 21–23 window has anchored trader consensus around the 65–89 bracket at 74.5% implied probability because his established daily rhythm of roughly 20–30 original posts, quotes, and reposts aligns with that three-day total. Recent activity has centered on Grok 4.7 promotions, Tesla integrations, and AI commentary rather than major company announcements or external controversies that typically spike volume. Precursor three-day periods in September settled in the 40–64 and low-80s ranges, reinforcing the current frontrunner while the slim 25.9% on 90–114 reflects the chance of a modest uptick from sustained platform engagement. With the resolution window closing imminently and no late-breaking catalysts evident, traders see limited upside for higher brackets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated65-89 75%
90-114 25.7%
115-139 <1%
140-164 <1%
$364,921 Vol.
$364,921 Vol.
Sep 23, 2026
65-89
75%
90-114
26%
115-139
1%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 75%
90-114 25.7%
115-139 <1%
140-164 <1%
$364,921 Vol.
$364,921 Vol.
Sep 23, 2026
65-89
$40,093 Vol.
75%
90-114
$59,580 Vol.
26%
115-139
$54,575 Vol.
1%
140-164
$34,675 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$28,007 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$6,321 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$5,988 Vol.
<1%
240+
$5,668 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 21 12:00 PM ET to September 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting pace on X during the September 21–23 window has anchored trader consensus around the 65–89 bracket at 74.5% implied probability because his established daily rhythm of roughly 20–30 original posts, quotes, and reposts aligns with that three-day total. Recent activity has centered on Grok 4.7 promotions, Tesla integrations, and AI commentary rather than major company announcements or external controversies that typically spike volume. Precursor three-day periods in September settled in the 40–64 and low-80s ranges, reinforcing the current frontrunner while the slim 25.9% on 90–114 reflects the chance of a modest uptick from sustained platform engagement. With the resolution window closing imminently and no late-breaking catalysts evident, traders see limited upside for higher brackets.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 21 12:00 PM ET to September 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 19, 2026, 12:07 PM ET
Volume
$364,921End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 19, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 21 12:00 PM ET to September 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Elon Musk’s posting pace on X during the September 21–23 window has anchored trader consensus around the 65–89 bracket at 74.5% implied probability because his established daily rhythm of roughly 20–30 original posts, quotes, and reposts aligns with that three-day total. Recent activity has centered on Grok 4.7 promotions, Tesla integrations, and AI commentary rather than major company announcements or external controversies that typically spike volume. Precursor three-day periods in September settled in the 40–64 and low-80s ranges, reinforcing the current frontrunner while the slim 25.9% on 90–114 reflects the chance of a modest uptick from sustained platform engagement. With the resolution window closing imminently and no late-breaking catalysts evident, traders see limited upside for higher brackets.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 21 12:00 PM ET to September 23, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$364,921End Date
Sep 23, 2026Market Opened
Sep 19, 2026, 12:07 PM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Elon Musk’s posting pace on X during the September 21–23 window has anchored trader consensus around the 65–89 bracket at 74.5% implied probability because his established daily rhythm of roughly 20–30 original posts, quotes, and reposts aligns with that three-day total. Recent activity has centered on Grok 4.7 promotions, Tesla integrations, and AI commentary rather than major company announcements or external controversies that typically spike volume. Precursor three-day periods in September settled in the 40–64 and low-80s ranges, reinforcing the current frontrunner while the slim 25.9% on 90–114 reflects the chance of a modest uptick from sustained platform engagement. With the resolution window closing imminently and no late-breaking catalysts evident, traders see limited upside for higher brackets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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