Traders see the 220-239 tweet band as the clearest favorite for Elon Musk’s September 18-25 window because his recent weekly totals have clustered tightly in the low-to-mid 200s during periods of steady platform engagement without major company announcements or political spikes. XTracker data shows a consistent daily pace near 22-25 original posts, quotes, and reposts, aligning with resolved markets from the prior two weeks that landed in the 180-239 range. Ongoing AI and Tesla commentary, including Grok updates and vehicle features, continues to fuel regular activity rather than bursts or lulls. With the week more than halfway complete and no late-breaking catalysts on the horizon, the market-implied odds reflect traders anchoring to this established rhythm while leaving room for modest upside or downside variance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated220-239 40%
200-219 28%
240-259 17.2%
260-279 8.2%
$1,002,717 Vol.
$1,002,717 Vol.
Sep 25, 2026
140-159
<1%
160-179
<1%
180-199
8%
200-219
28%
220-239
40%
240-259
17%
260-279
8%
280-299
2%
300-319
1%
320-339
<1%
340-359
<1%
360-379
<1%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500+
<1%
220-239 40%
200-219 28%
240-259 17.2%
260-279 8.2%
$1,002,717 Vol.
$1,002,717 Vol.
Sep 25, 2026
140-159
$93,906 Vol.
<1%
160-179
$86,021 Vol.
<1%
180-199
$70,644 Vol.
8%
200-219
$59,069 Vol.
28%
220-239
$51,599 Vol.
40%
240-259
$40,573 Vol.
17%
260-279
$49,308 Vol.
8%
280-299
$49,643 Vol.
2%
300-319
$39,522 Vol.
1%
320-339
$34,389 Vol.
<1%
340-359
$36,936 Vol.
<1%
360-379
$43,118 Vol.
<1%
380-399
$37,699 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$28,433 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$18,698 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$7,566 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$17,809 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$13,597 Vol.
<1%
500+
$41,470 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 18 12:00 PM ET to September 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 220-239 tweet band as the clearest favorite for Elon Musk’s September 18-25 window because his recent weekly totals have clustered tightly in the low-to-mid 200s during periods of steady platform engagement without major company announcements or political spikes. XTracker data shows a consistent daily pace near 22-25 original posts, quotes, and reposts, aligning with resolved markets from the prior two weeks that landed in the 180-239 range. Ongoing AI and Tesla commentary, including Grok updates and vehicle features, continues to fuel regular activity rather than bursts or lulls. With the week more than halfway complete and no late-breaking catalysts on the horizon, the market-implied odds reflect traders anchoring to this established rhythm while leaving room for modest upside or downside variance.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 18 12:00 PM ET to September 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$1,002,717End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 18 12:00 PM ET to September 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Traders see the 220-239 tweet band as the clearest favorite for Elon Musk’s September 18-25 window because his recent weekly totals have clustered tightly in the low-to-mid 200s during periods of steady platform engagement without major company announcements or political spikes. XTracker data shows a consistent daily pace near 22-25 original posts, quotes, and reposts, aligning with resolved markets from the prior two weeks that landed in the 180-239 range. Ongoing AI and Tesla commentary, including Grok updates and vehicle features, continues to fuel regular activity rather than bursts or lulls. With the week more than halfway complete and no late-breaking catalysts on the horizon, the market-implied odds reflect traders anchoring to this established rhythm while leaving room for modest upside or downside variance.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 18 12:00 PM ET to September 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$1,002,717End Date
Sep 25, 2026Market Opened
Sep 15, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders see the 220-239 tweet band as the clearest favorite for Elon Musk’s September 18-25 window because his recent weekly totals have clustered tightly in the low-to-mid 200s during periods of steady platform engagement without major company announcements or political spikes. XTracker data shows a consistent daily pace near 22-25 original posts, quotes, and reposts, aligning with resolved markets from the prior two weeks that landed in the 180-239 range. Ongoing AI and Tesla commentary, including Grok updates and vehicle features, continues to fuel regular activity rather than bursts or lulls. With the week more than halfway complete and no late-breaking catalysts on the horizon, the market-implied odds reflect traders anchoring to this established rhythm while leaving room for modest upside or downside variance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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