Recent volatility in SpaceX shares following its June 2026 IPO and Tesla's fluctuating stock price around $340 have created tight contestation among traders for Musk's August 31 net worth, with $800-900 billion and over $1.1 trillion outcomes nearly tied. Musk's fortune, heavily concentrated in roughly 20% Tesla and 42% SpaceX stakes, briefly crossed $1 trillion on the IPO but fell sharply amid a reported 50% SpaceX decline and Tesla margin pressures from EV competition and robotaxi investments. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over near-term equity rebounds versus sustained pullbacks, with traders weighing upcoming earnings, regulatory milestones for autonomous features, and broader tech sector sentiment as key swing factors before month-end resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$800-$900B 26%
$1.10T+ 25.9%
$900B-$1.00T 21.6%
$700-$800B 16%
$37,976 Vol.
$37,976 Vol.
<$600B
7%
$600-$700B
11%
$700-$800B
16%
$800-$900B
26%
$900B-$1.00T
22%
$1.00-$1.10T
11%
$1.10T+
26%
$800-$900B 26%
$1.10T+ 25.9%
$900B-$1.00T 21.6%
$700-$800B 16%
$37,976 Vol.
$37,976 Vol.
<$600B
7%
$600-$700B
11%
$700-$800B
16%
$800-$900B
26%
$900B-$1.00T
22%
$1.00-$1.10T
11%
$1.10T+
26%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/), specifically the datapoint for the specified date, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 7:09 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/), specifically the datapoint for the specified date, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolution Source
https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent volatility in SpaceX shares following its June 2026 IPO and Tesla's fluctuating stock price around $340 have created tight contestation among traders for Musk's August 31 net worth, with $800-900 billion and over $1.1 trillion outcomes nearly tied. Musk's fortune, heavily concentrated in roughly 20% Tesla and 42% SpaceX stakes, briefly crossed $1 trillion on the IPO but fell sharply amid a reported 50% SpaceX decline and Tesla margin pressures from EV competition and robotaxi investments. Market-implied odds reflect uncertainty over near-term equity rebounds versus sustained pullbacks, with traders weighing upcoming earnings, regulatory milestones for autonomous features, and broader tech sector sentiment as key swing factors before month-end resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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