President Trump's established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity, averaging 19–24 posts per day in 2026 with frequent late-night clusters and reposts, underpins trader consensus favoring the 200+ outcome for the August 28–September 4 period at 72.5%. Ongoing foreign-policy developments, including statements on the Iran conflict, a major Venezuela oil agreement, and tariff measures targeting Canada, have correlated with elevated output in recent weeks, as seen in manic sessions exceeding 40 posts in short windows. Political endorsements tied to upcoming state races and routine White House messaging further support sustained volume. This pricing reflects observed posting behavior during active policy cycles rather than baseline averages alone.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated200+ 73%
180-199 15%
160-179 12%
140-159 3.6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
1%
100-119
1%
120-139
1%
140-159
4%
160-179
12%
180-199
15%
200+
73%
200+ 73%
180-199 15%
160-179 12%
140-159 3.6%
NEW
NEW
Sep 4, 2026
20-39
$432 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$660 Vol.
1%
60-79
$193 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$181 Vol.
1%
100-119
$290 Vol.
1%
120-139
$393 Vol.
1%
140-159
$372 Vol.
4%
160-179
$526 Vol.
12%
180-199
$942 Vol.
15%
200+
$2,503 Vol.
73%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Trump's established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity, averaging 19–24 posts per day in 2026 with frequent late-night clusters and reposts, underpins trader consensus favoring the 200+ outcome for the August 28–September 4 period at 72.5%. Ongoing foreign-policy developments, including statements on the Iran conflict, a major Venezuela oil agreement, and tariff measures targeting Canada, have correlated with elevated output in recent weeks, as seen in manic sessions exceeding 40 posts in short windows. Political endorsements tied to upcoming state races and routine White House messaging further support sustained volume. This pricing reflects observed posting behavior during active policy cycles rather than baseline averages alone.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$6,808End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Trump's established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity, averaging 19–24 posts per day in 2026 with frequent late-night clusters and reposts, underpins trader consensus favoring the 200+ outcome for the August 28–September 4 period at 72.5%. Ongoing foreign-policy developments, including statements on the Iran conflict, a major Venezuela oil agreement, and tariff measures targeting Canada, have correlated with elevated output in recent weeks, as seen in manic sessions exceeding 40 posts in short windows. Political endorsements tied to upcoming state races and routine White House messaging further support sustained volume. This pricing reflects observed posting behavior during active policy cycles rather than baseline averages alone.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 28, 12:00 PM ET and September 4, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$6,808End Date
Sep 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 25, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Trump's established pattern of high-volume Truth Social activity, averaging 19–24 posts per day in 2026 with frequent late-night clusters and reposts, underpins trader consensus favoring the 200+ outcome for the August 28–September 4 period at 72.5%. Ongoing foreign-policy developments, including statements on the Iran conflict, a major Venezuela oil agreement, and tariff measures targeting Canada, have correlated with elevated output in recent weeks, as seen in manic sessions exceeding 40 posts in short windows. Political endorsements tied to upcoming state races and routine White House messaging further support sustained volume. This pricing reflects observed posting behavior during active policy cycles rather than baseline averages alone.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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