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2nd Largest Company end of August?

icon for 2nd Largest Company end of August?

2nd Largest Company end of August?

Apple 86%

Alphabet 13%

NVIDIA 2.6%

Microsoft <1%

Polymarket

$315,887 Vol.

Apple 86%

Alphabet 13%

NVIDIA 2.6%

Microsoft <1%

Polymarket

$315,887 Vol.

icon for Apple

Apple

$108,094 Vol.

86%

icon for Alphabet

Alphabet

$99,685 Vol.

13%

icon for NVIDIA

NVIDIA

$56,889 Vol.

3%

icon for Microsoft

Microsoft

$32,457 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tesla

Tesla

$6,029 Vol.

<1%

icon for Saudi Aramco

Saudi Aramco

$4,733 Vol.

<1%

icon for Amazon

Amazon

$4,329 Vol.

<1%

icon for Broadcom

Broadcom

$3,914 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Apple's position as the clear second-largest company by market capitalization, trailing only NVIDIA's roughly $5.4 trillion valuation, underpins the 86% implied probability for it to hold that spot at month-end. Recent 2026 trading has featured tight competition between the two, with Apple briefly leading in July amid investor rotation toward its AI initiatives and services growth, yet NVIDIA has maintained its edge through sustained GPU demand. Alphabet sits at a distant third near $4.2 trillion with only 12% odds, while Microsoft and others trail further behind. With just two weeks remaining and no major earnings or regulatory catalysts expected to trigger abrupt valuation swings, traders see limited scope for a ranking shift before August 31.

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$315,887
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Apple's position as the clear second-largest company by market capitalization, trailing only NVIDIA's roughly $5.4 trillion valuation, underpins the 86% implied probability for it to hold that spot at month-end. Recent 2026 trading has featured tight competition between the two, with Apple briefly leading in July amid investor rotation toward its AI initiatives and services growth, yet NVIDIA has maintained its edge through sustained GPU demand. Alphabet sits at a distant third near $4.2 trillion with only 12% odds, while Microsoft and others trail further behind. With just two weeks remaining and no major earnings or regulatory catalysts expected to trigger abrupt valuation swings, traders see limited scope for a ranking shift before August 31.

This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$315,887
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 9:00 PM ET
This market will resolve to the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2nd Largest Company end of August?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Apple" at 86%, followed by "Alphabet" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 86¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2nd Largest Company end of August?" has generated $315.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 15, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2nd Largest Company end of August?," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2nd Largest Company end of August?" is "Apple" at 86%, meaning the market assigns a 86% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alphabet" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2nd Largest Company end of August?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.