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Elections·Global Elections

Zambia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout

icon for Zambia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout
Elections·Global Elections

Zambia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout

50-60% 59%

60-70% 58%

<50% 3.0%

70-80% <1%

Polymarket

$38,796 Vol.

50-60% 59%

60-70% 58%

<50% 3.0%

70-80% <1%

Polymarket

$38,796 Vol.

<50%

$6,747 Vol.

13%

50-60%

$8,468 Vol.

49%

60-70%

$12,740 Vol.

49%

70-80%

$5,656 Vol.

1%

80%+

$5,185 Vol.

<1%

The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).The closely matched pricing between the 50-60% and 60-70% turnout bins for Zambia's August 13 presidential first round reflects uncertainty over youth and urban voter mobilization in a contest between incumbent Hakainde Hichilema and main challenger Brian Mundubile. With roughly 8.7-8.8 million registered voters, including a large share aged 18-35, participation hinges on whether economic pressures such as food costs, unemployment, and power shortages suppress or energize turnout compared to the high youth-driven levels seen in 2021. Polarized perceptions of electoral fairness and opposition regional strength further contribute to trader caution, as modest shifts in swing or reluctant voter engagement could separate the leading outcomes.

The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
Volume
$38,796
End Date
Aug 14, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).The closely matched pricing between the 50-60% and 60-70% turnout bins for Zambia's August 13 presidential first round reflects uncertainty over youth and urban voter mobilization in a contest between incumbent Hakainde Hichilema and main challenger Brian Mundubile. With roughly 8.7-8.8 million registered voters, including a large share aged 18-35, participation hinges on whether economic pressures such as food costs, unemployment, and power shortages suppress or energize turnout compared to the high youth-driven levels seen in 2021. Polarized perceptions of electoral fairness and opposition regional strength further contribute to trader caution, as modest shifts in swing or reluctant voter engagement could separate the leading outcomes.

The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter.

This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.

This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).
Volume
$38,796
End Date
Aug 14, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 5, 2026, 4:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential elections is currently scheduled to be held on August 13, 2026, with a potential second round within 37 days thereafter. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the first round of the 2026 Zambian presidential election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Zambian government, including the Electoral Commission of Zambia (https://www.elections.org.zm/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Zambia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 5 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "50-60%" at 49%, followed by "60-70%" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 49¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Zambia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout" has generated $38.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 5, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Zambia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout," browse the 5 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Zambia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout" is "50-60%" at 49%, meaning the market assigns a 49% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "60-70%" at 49%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Zambia Presidential Election 1st Round: Turnout" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.