David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor on August 11 with a narrow victory over state Assemblymember Francesca Hong, driven by late-counted Milwaukee absentee ballots and a final-weekend shift among undecided voters that polls had missed. Endorsements from outgoing Governor Tony Evers and other establishment figures, combined with concerns over Hong's democratic socialist platform in a swing state, consolidated support behind the Milwaukee County executive despite his earlier campaign suspension. The 0.4–0.6% margin reflects the razor-thin statewide tally and open-primary dynamics that complicated turnout predictions. A formal recount or delayed certification could still adjust the exact bracket, though concession statements and vote totals make significant changes unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCrowley 0.4–0.6% 97.6%
Crowley 0.2–0.4% 1.6%
Crowley 0.6–0.8% <1%
Crowley <0.2% <1%
$212,423 Vol.
$212,423 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
Hong 1%+
<1%
Hong 0.8–1%
<1%
Hong 0.6–0.8%
<1%
Hong 0.4–0.6%
<1%
Hong 0.2–0.4%
<1%
Hong <0.2%
<1%
Crowley <0.2%
<1%
Crowley 0.2–0.4%
2%
Crowley 0.4–0.6%
98%
Crowley 0.6–0.8%
1%
Crowley 0.8–1%
<1%
Crowley 1–1.2%
<1%
Crowley 1.2–1.4%
<1%
Crowley 1.4–1.6%
<1%
Crowley 1.6–1.8%
<1%
Crowley 1.8–2%
<1%
Crowley 2%+
<1%
Crowley 0.4–0.6% 97.6%
Crowley 0.2–0.4% 1.6%
Crowley 0.6–0.8% <1%
Crowley <0.2% <1%
$212,423 Vol.
$212,423 Vol.
Aug 12, 2026
Hong 1%+
$319 Vol.
<1%
Hong 0.8–1%
$232 Vol.
<1%
Hong 0.6–0.8%
$694 Vol.
<1%
Hong 0.4–0.6%
$716 Vol.
<1%
Hong 0.2–0.4%
$749 Vol.
<1%
Hong <0.2%
$576 Vol.
<1%
Crowley <0.2%
$37,443 Vol.
<1%
Crowley 0.2–0.4%
$41,224 Vol.
2%
Crowley 0.4–0.6%
$38,767 Vol.
98%
Crowley 0.6–0.8%
$29,754 Vol.
1%
Crowley 0.8–1%
$26,575 Vol.
<1%
Crowley 1–1.2%
$30,077 Vol.
<1%
Crowley 1.2–1.4%
$1,194 Vol.
<1%
Crowley 1.4–1.6%
$1,140 Vol.
<1%
Crowley 1.6–1.8%
$1,181 Vol.
<1%
Crowley 1.8–2%
$1,261 Vol.
<1%
Crowley 2%+
$521 Vol.
<1%
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor on August 11 with a narrow victory over state Assemblymember Francesca Hong, driven by late-counted Milwaukee absentee ballots and a final-weekend shift among undecided voters that polls had missed. Endorsements from outgoing Governor Tony Evers and other establishment figures, combined with concerns over Hong's democratic socialist platform in a swing state, consolidated support behind the Milwaukee County executive despite his earlier campaign suspension. The 0.4–0.6% margin reflects the razor-thin statewide tally and open-primary dynamics that complicated turnout predictions. A formal recount or delayed certification could still adjust the exact bracket, though concession statements and vote totals make significant changes unlikely.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
Volume
$212,423End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor on August 11 with a narrow victory over state Assemblymember Francesca Hong, driven by late-counted Milwaukee absentee ballots and a final-weekend shift among undecided voters that polls had missed. Endorsements from outgoing Governor Tony Evers and other establishment figures, combined with concerns over Hong's democratic socialist platform in a swing state, consolidated support behind the Milwaukee County executive despite his earlier campaign suspension. The 0.4–0.6% margin reflects the razor-thin statewide tally and open-primary dynamics that complicated turnout predictions. A formal recount or delayed certification could still adjust the exact bracket, though concession statements and vote totals make significant changes unlikely.
The Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election is scheduled for August 11, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Wisconsin Gubernatorial Democratic primary election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Wisconsin, such as official statewide results published by the Wisconsin Elections Commission (https://myvote.wi.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$212,423End Date
Aug 12, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:15 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...David Crowley secured the Democratic nomination for Wisconsin governor on August 11 with a narrow victory over state Assemblymember Francesca Hong, driven by late-counted Milwaukee absentee ballots and a final-weekend shift among undecided voters that polls had missed. Endorsements from outgoing Governor Tony Evers and other establishment figures, combined with concerns over Hong's democratic socialist platform in a swing state, consolidated support behind the Milwaukee County executive despite his earlier campaign suspension. The 0.4–0.6% margin reflects the razor-thin statewide tally and open-primary dynamics that complicated turnout predictions. A formal recount or delayed certification could still adjust the exact bracket, though concession statements and vote totals make significant changes unlikely.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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