Ralph Norman secured second place in South Carolina's August 11 special Republican primary for the U.S. Senate seat vacated by the late Lindsey Graham, advancing with Darline Graham to the August 25 runoff. Norman's position reflects strong Upstate support across multiple counties, his established record as a House Freedom Caucus member, and consolidation of conservative voters behind an experienced incumbent representative in a crowded 10-candidate field. Darline Graham, the appointed incumbent and top vote-getter at roughly 33 percent, benefited from statewide name recognition. Trader consensus pricing at 100 percent for Norman as second-place finisher aligns with official tallies showing him ahead of Russell Fry and others. Late shifts in vote counting or certification disputes remain the only plausible variables that could alter the recorded order, though primary results have already been widely reported.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$93,177 Vol.
$93,177 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
Ralph Norman
100%
Darline Graham Nordone
<1%
$93,177 Vol.
$93,177 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
Ralph Norman
$53,836 Vol.
100%
Darline Graham Nordone
$12,471 Vol.
<1%
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Ralph Norman secured second place in South Carolina's August 11 special Republican primary for the U.S. Senate seat vacated by the late Lindsey Graham, advancing with Darline Graham to the August 25 runoff. Norman's position reflects strong Upstate support across multiple counties, his established record as a House Freedom Caucus member, and consolidation of conservative voters behind an experienced incumbent representative in a crowded 10-candidate field. Darline Graham, the appointed incumbent and top vote-getter at roughly 33 percent, benefited from statewide name recognition. Trader consensus pricing at 100 percent for Norman as second-place finisher aligns with official tallies showing him ahead of Russell Fry and others. Late shifts in vote counting or certification disputes remain the only plausible variables that could alter the recorded order, though primary results have already been widely reported.
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 3:53 PM ET
Volume
$93,177End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Ralph Norman secured second place in South Carolina's August 11 special Republican primary for the U.S. Senate seat vacated by the late Lindsey Graham, advancing with Darline Graham to the August 25 runoff. Norman's position reflects strong Upstate support across multiple counties, his established record as a House Freedom Caucus member, and consolidation of conservative voters behind an experienced incumbent representative in a crowded 10-candidate field. Darline Graham, the appointed incumbent and top vote-getter at roughly 33 percent, benefited from statewide name recognition. Trader consensus pricing at 100 percent for Norman as second-place finisher aligns with official tallies showing him ahead of Russell Fry and others. Late shifts in vote counting or certification disputes remain the only plausible variables that could alter the recorded order, though primary results have already been widely reported.
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$93,177End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 3:53 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ralph Norman secured second place in South Carolina's August 11 special Republican primary for the U.S. Senate seat vacated by the late Lindsey Graham, advancing with Darline Graham to the August 25 runoff. Norman's position reflects strong Upstate support across multiple counties, his established record as a House Freedom Caucus member, and consolidation of conservative voters behind an experienced incumbent representative in a crowded 10-candidate field. Darline Graham, the appointed incumbent and top vote-getter at roughly 33 percent, benefited from statewide name recognition. Trader consensus pricing at 100 percent for Norman as second-place finisher aligns with official tallies showing him ahead of Russell Fry and others. Late shifts in vote counting or certification disputes remain the only plausible variables that could alter the recorded order, though primary results have already been widely reported.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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