Wisconsin's Elections Commission issued a July 2026 advisory reminding voters of an 1849 statute that disqualifies anyone with a direct or indirect bet on an election outcome from casting a ballot in that contest, explicitly referencing prediction-market trades. Traders assign only a roughly 6% chance of actual disenfranchisement before the November 2026 midterms because the guidance remains advisory rather than operational, with no reported mechanisms to identify individual bettors or initiate qualification challenges at scale. Absent public announcements of specific disqualifications or enforcement referrals by election officials, the statutory bar has not yet produced documented voter removals, leaving the probability of any such action before election day low under current conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated6% chance
NEW
NEW
Nov 2, 2026
6% chance
NEW
NEW
Nov 2, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by November 2, 2026 11:59PM ET, the state of Wisconsin or any subdivision thereof announces that it has disqualified or will disqualify at least one individual from casting a valid vote in the 2026 midterm elections because that individual placed a bet or financial trade relating to the outcome of an election, or such a disqualification is otherwise made public. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If a qualifying announcement or disqualification is issued within the specified timeframe, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether the announcement or disqualification is later withdrawn, walked-back, or otherwise revoked. A qualifying announcement need not take legal effect, survive judicial review, or result in a vote being disqualified. A consensus of credible reporting that a disqualification has been issued will also count.
Announcements that the State has received challenges from private individuals or will consider those challenges will not qualify.
Such announcement or disqualification must explicitly pertain to an individual or set of individuals. General statements of the state of Wisconsin's intention or capabilities to take such action, not related to any individual, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the State of Wisconsin or any subdivision of the state; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Wisconsin's Elections Commission issued a July 2026 advisory reminding voters of an 1849 statute that disqualifies anyone with a direct or indirect bet on an election outcome from casting a ballot in that contest, explicitly referencing prediction-market trades. Traders assign only a roughly 6% chance of actual disenfranchisement before the November 2026 midterms because the guidance remains advisory rather than operational, with no reported mechanisms to identify individual bettors or initiate qualification challenges at scale. Absent public announcements of specific disqualifications or enforcement referrals by election officials, the statutory bar has not yet produced documented voter removals, leaving the probability of any such action before election day low under current conditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by November 2, 2026 11:59PM ET, the state of Wisconsin or any subdivision thereof announces that it has disqualified or will disqualify at least one individual from casting a valid vote in the 2026 midterm elections because that individual placed a bet or financial trade relating to the outcome of an election, or such a disqualification is otherwise made public. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If a qualifying announcement or disqualification is issued within the specified timeframe, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether the announcement or disqualification is later withdrawn, walked-back, or otherwise revoked. A qualifying announcement need not take legal effect, survive judicial review, or result in a vote being disqualified. A consensus of credible reporting that a disqualification has been issued will also count.
Announcements that the State has received challenges from private individuals or will consider those challenges will not qualify.
Such announcement or disqualification must explicitly pertain to an individual or set of individuals. General statements of the state of Wisconsin's intention or capabilities to take such action, not related to any individual, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the State of Wisconsin or any subdivision of the state; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If a qualifying announcement or disqualification is issued within the specified timeframe, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether the announcement or disqualification is later withdrawn, walked-back, or otherwise revoked. A qualifying announcement need not take legal effect, survive judicial review, or result in a vote being disqualified. A consensus of credible reporting that a disqualification has been issued will also count.
Announcements that the State has received challenges from private individuals or will consider those challenges will not qualify.
Such announcement or disqualification must explicitly pertain to an individual or set of individuals. General statements of the state of Wisconsin's intention or capabilities to take such action, not related to any individual, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the State of Wisconsin or any subdivision of the state; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 23, 2026, 6:28 PM ET
Volume
$1,940End Date
Nov 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by November 2, 2026 11:59PM ET, the state of Wisconsin or any subdivision thereof announces that it has disqualified or will disqualify at least one individual from casting a valid vote in the 2026 midterm elections because that individual placed a bet or financial trade relating to the outcome of an election, or such a disqualification is otherwise made public. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If a qualifying announcement or disqualification is issued within the specified timeframe, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether the announcement or disqualification is later withdrawn, walked-back, or otherwise revoked. A qualifying announcement need not take legal effect, survive judicial review, or result in a vote being disqualified. A consensus of credible reporting that a disqualification has been issued will also count.
Announcements that the State has received challenges from private individuals or will consider those challenges will not qualify.
Such announcement or disqualification must explicitly pertain to an individual or set of individuals. General statements of the state of Wisconsin's intention or capabilities to take such action, not related to any individual, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the State of Wisconsin or any subdivision of the state; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Wisconsin's Elections Commission issued a July 2026 advisory reminding voters of an 1849 statute that disqualifies anyone with a direct or indirect bet on an election outcome from casting a ballot in that contest, explicitly referencing prediction-market trades. Traders assign only a roughly 6% chance of actual disenfranchisement before the November 2026 midterms because the guidance remains advisory rather than operational, with no reported mechanisms to identify individual bettors or initiate qualification challenges at scale. Absent public announcements of specific disqualifications or enforcement referrals by election officials, the statutory bar has not yet produced documented voter removals, leaving the probability of any such action before election day low under current conditions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by November 2, 2026 11:59PM ET, the state of Wisconsin or any subdivision thereof announces that it has disqualified or will disqualify at least one individual from casting a valid vote in the 2026 midterm elections because that individual placed a bet or financial trade relating to the outcome of an election, or such a disqualification is otherwise made public. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
If a qualifying announcement or disqualification is issued within the specified timeframe, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether the announcement or disqualification is later withdrawn, walked-back, or otherwise revoked. A qualifying announcement need not take legal effect, survive judicial review, or result in a vote being disqualified. A consensus of credible reporting that a disqualification has been issued will also count.
Announcements that the State has received challenges from private individuals or will consider those challenges will not qualify.
Such announcement or disqualification must explicitly pertain to an individual or set of individuals. General statements of the state of Wisconsin's intention or capabilities to take such action, not related to any individual, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the State of Wisconsin or any subdivision of the state; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If a qualifying announcement or disqualification is issued within the specified timeframe, this market will resolve to “Yes” regardless of whether the announcement or disqualification is later withdrawn, walked-back, or otherwise revoked. A qualifying announcement need not take legal effect, survive judicial review, or result in a vote being disqualified. A consensus of credible reporting that a disqualification has been issued will also count.
Announcements that the State has received challenges from private individuals or will consider those challenges will not qualify.
Such announcement or disqualification must explicitly pertain to an individual or set of individuals. General statements of the state of Wisconsin's intention or capabilities to take such action, not related to any individual, will not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the State of Wisconsin or any subdivision of the state; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,940End Date
Nov 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 6:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Wisconsin's Elections Commission issued a July 2026 advisory reminding voters of an 1849 statute that disqualifies anyone with a direct or indirect bet on an election outcome from casting a ballot in that contest, explicitly referencing prediction-market trades. Traders assign only a roughly 6% chance of actual disenfranchisement before the November 2026 midterms because the guidance remains advisory rather than operational, with no reported mechanisms to identify individual bettors or initiate qualification challenges at scale. Absent public announcements of specific disqualifications or enforcement referrals by election officials, the statutory bar has not yet produced documented voter removals, leaving the probability of any such action before election day low under current conditions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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