Trump has exercised his constitutional pardon authority extensively in his second term, granting clemency to over 1,700 individuals by mid-2026. This includes a blanket January 20, 2025, action covering roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants, plus subsequent batches for white-collar offenses, political allies, and others through July 2026. Official DOJ records document multiple rounds of individual pardons and commutations in 2025–2026, reflecting an active clemency process driven by case reviews, advocacy, and administration priorities. Traders assessing any near-term cutoff date should weigh this established pattern against the absence of scheduled legislative or judicial constraints on future actions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$10,399 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
32%
$10,399 Vol.
August 31
$2,321 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has exercised his constitutional pardon authority extensively in his second term, granting clemency to over 1,700 individuals by mid-2026. This includes a blanket January 20, 2025, action covering roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants, plus subsequent batches for white-collar offenses, political allies, and others through July 2026. Official DOJ records document multiple rounds of individual pardons and commutations in 2025–2026, reflecting an active clemency process driven by case reviews, advocacy, and administration priorities. Traders assessing any near-term cutoff date should weigh this established pattern against the absence of scheduled legislative or judicial constraints on future actions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 5:42 PM ET
Volume
$10,399End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trump has exercised his constitutional pardon authority extensively in his second term, granting clemency to over 1,700 individuals by mid-2026. This includes a blanket January 20, 2025, action covering roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants, plus subsequent batches for white-collar offenses, political allies, and others through July 2026. Official DOJ records document multiple rounds of individual pardons and commutations in 2025–2026, reflecting an active clemency process driven by case reviews, advocacy, and administration priorities. Traders assessing any near-term cutoff date should weigh this established pattern against the absence of scheduled legislative or judicial constraints on future actions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any individual receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve from Donald Trump between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If it becomes impossible for Trump issue a federal pardon, commutation, or reprieve within this market's timeframe, it may immediately resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for whether a person is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$10,399End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 5:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump has exercised his constitutional pardon authority extensively in his second term, granting clemency to over 1,700 individuals by mid-2026. This includes a blanket January 20, 2025, action covering roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants, plus subsequent batches for white-collar offenses, political allies, and others through July 2026. Official DOJ records document multiple rounds of individual pardons and commutations in 2025–2026, reflecting an active clemency process driven by case reviews, advocacy, and administration priorities. Traders assessing any near-term cutoff date should weigh this established pattern against the absence of scheduled legislative or judicial constraints on future actions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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