Trump has already exercised the pardon power extensively in his second term, beginning with a January 20, 2025, proclamation granting blanket clemency to roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants and targeted commutations for select leaders. Additional grants through mid-2026 have covered allies such as Rudy Giuliani and Mark Meadows, along with figures facing fraud or regulatory charges. These actions reflect a pattern of prioritizing loyalty and reversing prior prosecutions. With the resolution window extending into 2027, trader assessments focus on further grants for political associates, white-collar cases, or other pending matters before term limits or political shifts intervene. Historical precedent shows presidents often issue clusters of pardons near year-end or during transitions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$419,092 Vol.
Ryan Salame
40%
Matt Gaetz
21%
Keonne Rodriguez
18%
Steve Bannon
17%
Stefan Brodie
16%
Roger Stone
14%
Donald Brodie
14%
Daniel Penny
18%
Roger Ver
9%
Joe Exotic
9%
Eric Adams
8%
Bob Menendez
7%
Martin Shkreli
6%
Julian Assange
6%
Nicolas Maduro
6%
Diddy
6%
Young Thug
6%
Himself
5%
Derek Chauvin
5%
Edward Snowden
5%
Sam Bankman-Fried
4%
Ghislaine Maxwell
4%
Elizabeth Holmes
4%
Andrew Tate
4%
Hunter Biden
3%
Do Kwon
2%
Antoine Massey
2%
Elon Musk
2%
$419,092 Vol.
Ryan Salame
40%
Matt Gaetz
21%
Keonne Rodriguez
18%
Steve Bannon
17%
Stefan Brodie
16%
Roger Stone
14%
Donald Brodie
14%
Daniel Penny
18%
Roger Ver
9%
Joe Exotic
9%
Eric Adams
8%
Bob Menendez
7%
Martin Shkreli
6%
Julian Assange
6%
Nicolas Maduro
6%
Diddy
6%
Young Thug
6%
Himself
5%
Derek Chauvin
5%
Edward Snowden
5%
Sam Bankman-Fried
4%
Ghislaine Maxwell
4%
Elizabeth Holmes
4%
Andrew Tate
4%
Hunter Biden
3%
Do Kwon
2%
Antoine Massey
2%
Elon Musk
2%
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump has already exercised the pardon power extensively in his second term, beginning with a January 20, 2025, proclamation granting blanket clemency to roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants and targeted commutations for select leaders. Additional grants through mid-2026 have covered allies such as Rudy Giuliani and Mark Meadows, along with figures facing fraud or regulatory charges. These actions reflect a pattern of prioritizing loyalty and reversing prior prosecutions. With the resolution window extending into 2027, trader assessments focus on further grants for political associates, white-collar cases, or other pending matters before term limits or political shifts intervene. Historical precedent shows presidents often issue clusters of pardons near year-end or during transitions.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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