Trump has issued only two vetoes since returning to office, both in December 2025 on narrow natural-resources measures that Congress failed to override in early 2026. Through mid-August 2026, no additional vetoes have occurred. Republican majorities in both chambers have produced legislation aligned with administration priorities, while high-profile bipartisan measures such as the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act cleared Congress with veto-proof margins and became law without presidential action. The White House has instead relied on executive orders and targeted signing statements. With limited legislative friction expected before year-end and no active veto threats reported, traders assign 68 percent probability that 2026 will close without further vetoes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated30% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
30% chance
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NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trump has issued only two vetoes since returning to office, both in December 2025 on narrow natural-resources measures that Congress failed to override in early 2026. Through mid-August 2026, no additional vetoes have occurred. Republican majorities in both chambers have produced legislation aligned with administration priorities, while high-profile bipartisan measures such as the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act cleared Congress with veto-proof margins and became law without presidential action. The White House has instead relied on executive orders and targeted signing statements. With limited legislative friction expected before year-end and no active veto threats reported, traders assign 68 percent probability that 2026 will close without further vetoes.
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jun 25, 2026, 11:49 AM ET
Volume
$5,296End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 25, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. Trump has issued only two vetoes since returning to office, both in December 2025 on narrow natural-resources measures that Congress failed to override in early 2026. Through mid-August 2026, no additional vetoes have occurred. Republican majorities in both chambers have produced legislation aligned with administration priorities, while high-profile bipartisan measures such as the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act cleared Congress with veto-proof margins and became law without presidential action. The White House has instead relied on executive orders and targeted signing statements. With limited legislative friction expected before year-end and no active veto threats reported, traders assign 68 percent probability that 2026 will close without further vetoes.
This market will resolve to Yes if President Trump issues a presidential veto, including a "pocket veto," by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A pocket veto will be considered to have occurred when the relevant bill is presented to the President, even if the pocket veto's effect is not realized until after the date referenced above. In the event of ambiguity over the timing or effect of a pocket veto, this market will remain open until the status of the pocket veto is known.
The resolution source will be official U.S. federal government publications (e.g., Congress.gov) however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,296End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jun 25, 2026, 11:49 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump has issued only two vetoes since returning to office, both in December 2025 on narrow natural-resources measures that Congress failed to override in early 2026. Through mid-August 2026, no additional vetoes have occurred. Republican majorities in both chambers have produced legislation aligned with administration priorities, while high-profile bipartisan measures such as the 21st Century ROAD to Housing Act cleared Congress with veto-proof margins and became law without presidential action. The White House has instead relied on executive orders and targeted signing statements. With limited legislative friction expected before year-end and no active veto threats reported, traders assign 68 percent probability that 2026 will close without further vetoes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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