The One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed in July 2025 permanently extended key 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act business provisions, including 100% bonus depreciation, R&D expensing, and pass-through deductions, while leaving the statutory corporate rate at 21%. Subsequent regulatory actions have delivered targeted relief for multinationals through international tax tweaks and clean-energy credit phaseouts, yet no legislation advancing a further rate reduction has advanced in Congress. Midterm dynamics, deficit concerns, and competing priorities such as tariffs have kept additional corporate rate cuts off the legislative calendar through mid-2026. Traders therefore assign only an 8% implied probability to any new statutory cut taking effect before the end of 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated8% chance
$15,983 Vol.
$15,983 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
8% chance
$15,983 Vol.
$15,983 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
The One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed in July 2025 permanently extended key 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act business provisions, including 100% bonus depreciation, R&D expensing, and pass-through deductions, while leaving the statutory corporate rate at 21%. Subsequent regulatory actions have delivered targeted relief for multinationals through international tax tweaks and clean-energy credit phaseouts, yet no legislation advancing a further rate reduction has advanced in Congress. Midterm dynamics, deficit concerns, and competing priorities such as tariffs have kept additional corporate rate cuts off the legislative calendar through mid-2026. Traders therefore assign only an 8% implied probability to any new statutory cut taking effect before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ET
Volume
$15,983End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
The One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed in July 2025 permanently extended key 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act business provisions, including 100% bonus depreciation, R&D expensing, and pass-through deductions, while leaving the statutory corporate rate at 21%. Subsequent regulatory actions have delivered targeted relief for multinationals through international tax tweaks and clean-energy credit phaseouts, yet no legislation advancing a further rate reduction has advanced in Congress. Midterm dynamics, deficit concerns, and competing priorities such as tariffs have kept additional corporate rate cuts off the legislative calendar through mid-2026. Traders therefore assign only an 8% implied probability to any new statutory cut taking effect before the end of 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald J. Trump, as President of the United States, signs into law a bill that lowers the corporate tax rate in the United States below 21% at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Note that the cut does not need to go into effect before the resolution date - it just needs to be signed into law by then.
This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Volume
$15,983End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 1:03 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The One Big Beautiful Bill Act signed in July 2025 permanently extended key 2017 Tax Cuts and Jobs Act business provisions, including 100% bonus depreciation, R&D expensing, and pass-through deductions, while leaving the statutory corporate rate at 21%. Subsequent regulatory actions have delivered targeted relief for multinationals through international tax tweaks and clean-energy credit phaseouts, yet no legislation advancing a further rate reduction has advanced in Congress. Midterm dynamics, deficit concerns, and competing priorities such as tariffs have kept additional corporate rate cuts off the legislative calendar through mid-2026. Traders therefore assign only an 8% implied probability to any new statutory cut taking effect before the end of 2026.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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