Trump has exercised broad clemency authority since returning to office in January 2025, granting over 1,700 pardons and commutations by June 2026. This includes immediate blanket relief for roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants, commutations for Proud Boys and Oath Keepers leaders, and individual grants to figures such as Ross Ulbricht, Trevor Milton, George Santos, and Stephen Buyer. Recent actions in 2026 have continued at a steady pace, with batches issued in February, June, and July. These patterns reflect priorities around political allies, campaign supporters, and cases tied to prior investigations, establishing a baseline for expectations about additional grants before the 2027 cutoff. Trader assessments center on which specific names or categories remain eligible under ongoing White House review.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$419,583 Vol.
Ryan Salame
42%
Daniel Penny
21%
Matt Gaetz
21%
Steve Bannon
17%
Keonne Rodriguez
17%
Stefan Brodie
16%
Roger Stone
15%
Donald Brodie
14%
Roger Ver
10%
Joe Exotic
9%
Eric Adams
9%
Bob Menendez
8%
Martin Shkreli
7%
Nicolas Maduro
6%
Julian Assange
6%
Diddy
6%
Young Thug
6%
Himself
5%
Derek Chauvin
5%
Edward Snowden
5%
Andrew Tate
5%
Sam Bankman-Fried
4%
Elizabeth Holmes
4%
Ghislaine Maxwell
4%
Do Kwon
4%
Hunter Biden
3%
Antoine Massey
2%
Elon Musk
1%
$419,583 Vol.
Ryan Salame
42%
Daniel Penny
21%
Matt Gaetz
21%
Steve Bannon
17%
Keonne Rodriguez
17%
Stefan Brodie
16%
Roger Stone
15%
Donald Brodie
14%
Roger Ver
10%
Joe Exotic
9%
Eric Adams
9%
Bob Menendez
8%
Martin Shkreli
7%
Nicolas Maduro
6%
Julian Assange
6%
Diddy
6%
Young Thug
6%
Himself
5%
Derek Chauvin
5%
Edward Snowden
5%
Andrew Tate
5%
Sam Bankman-Fried
4%
Elizabeth Holmes
4%
Ghislaine Maxwell
4%
Do Kwon
4%
Hunter Biden
3%
Antoine Massey
2%
Elon Musk
1%
The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 18, 2025, 10:46 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...The primary resolution source for whether the individual is pardoned or not will be official information from the US government, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Trump has exercised broad clemency authority since returning to office in January 2025, granting over 1,700 pardons and commutations by June 2026. This includes immediate blanket relief for roughly 1,500 January 6 defendants, commutations for Proud Boys and Oath Keepers leaders, and individual grants to figures such as Ross Ulbricht, Trevor Milton, George Santos, and Stephen Buyer. Recent actions in 2026 have continued at a steady pace, with batches issued in February, June, and July. These patterns reflect priorities around political allies, campaign supporters, and cases tied to prior investigations, establishing a baseline for expectations about additional grants before the 2027 cutoff. Trader assessments center on which specific names or categories remain eligible under ongoing White House review.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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