Traders assign overwhelming probability against presidential removal through the 25th Amendment before 2027 due to the structural requirement that the vice president and a cabinet majority must declare incapacity, combined with the current administration's alignment of appointees. Historical patterns show the amendment invoked mainly for brief medical procedures rather than permanent ouster, and no major health crises, cabinet revolts, or congressional actions have emerged to challenge this stability in recent months. This consensus aligns with base rates for incumbent continuity absent extraordinary events. Late-breaking developments such as a sudden documented incapacity, widespread cabinet resignations, or documented legal findings of unfitness remain the primary pathways that could still shift odds, though none are currently indicated within the resolution window.