Republican nominee Charlie Hatcher secured the TN-05 nomination by defeating incumbent Andy Ogles in the August 6, 2026, Republican primary, positioning a former state agriculture commissioner with broader appeal against Democratic nominee Chaz Molder in the November general election. The district’s Republican lean, reflected in its Partisan Voting Index and prior results showing double-digit margins for GOP candidates including Donald Trump, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Republican following the primary. Late developments that could narrow the gap include unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban Davidson County portions, a broader national shift against Republicans, or candidate-specific issues emerging before Election Day. The race remains open until votes are certified.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTN-05 House Election Winner
TN-05 House Election Winner
$50,707 Vol.
$50,707 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
5%
$50,707 Vol.
$50,707 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$25,026 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$25,681 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Charlie Hatcher secured the TN-05 nomination by defeating incumbent Andy Ogles in the August 6, 2026, Republican primary, positioning a former state agriculture commissioner with broader appeal against Democratic nominee Chaz Molder in the November general election. The district’s Republican lean, reflected in its Partisan Voting Index and prior results showing double-digit margins for GOP candidates including Donald Trump, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Republican following the primary. Late developments that could narrow the gap include unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban Davidson County portions, a broader national shift against Republicans, or candidate-specific issues emerging before Election Day. The race remains open until votes are certified.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$50,707End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican nominee Charlie Hatcher secured the TN-05 nomination by defeating incumbent Andy Ogles in the August 6, 2026, Republican primary, positioning a former state agriculture commissioner with broader appeal against Democratic nominee Chaz Molder in the November general election. The district’s Republican lean, reflected in its Partisan Voting Index and prior results showing double-digit margins for GOP candidates including Donald Trump, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Republican following the primary. Late developments that could narrow the gap include unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban Davidson County portions, a broader national shift against Republicans, or candidate-specific issues emerging before Election Day. The race remains open until votes are certified.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$50,707End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican nominee Charlie Hatcher secured the TN-05 nomination by defeating incumbent Andy Ogles in the August 6, 2026, Republican primary, positioning a former state agriculture commissioner with broader appeal against Democratic nominee Chaz Molder in the November general election. The district’s Republican lean, reflected in its Partisan Voting Index and prior results showing double-digit margins for GOP candidates including Donald Trump, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Cook Political Report rates the race Likely Republican following the primary. Late developments that could narrow the gap include unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban Davidson County portions, a broader national shift against Republicans, or candidate-specific issues emerging before Election Day. The race remains open until votes are certified.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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