Grand Theft Auto VI leads The Game Awards Game of the Year market at 60.5% implied probability, driven by its confirmed November 19, 2026 release and unprecedented cultural anticipation as Rockstar's next open-world epic. Traders see strong momentum from pre-order activity and marketing buildup, though the tight window before the December 10 ceremony creates eligibility and review risks that cap its odds below certainty. Lower-priced contenders like Resident Evil Requiem (8.5%) and Phantom Blade Zero (7.1%) draw support from strong critical tracking and series pedigree, while Marvel's Wolverine and Gears of War: E-Day sit further back on guild-style buzz and platform timing. With nominations likely reflecting recent Metacritic leaders and streaming metrics, the market favors GTA VI's scale but prices in volatility from late-year releases and historical upsets at the ceremony.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedThe Game Awards: Game of the Year
Grand Theft Auto VI 61%
Resident Evil Requiem 9%
Phantom Blade Zero 7.2%
Marvel's Wolverine 5.6%
$16,430 Vol.
$16,430 Vol.
Grand Theft Auto VI
61%
Resident Evil Requiem
9%
Phantom Blade Zero
7%
Marvel's Wolverine
6%
Gears of War: E-Day
4%
Nioh 3
4%
Exodus
4%
Control Resonant
4%
Crimson Desert
3%
Saros
3%
The Duskbloods
3%
Onimusha: Way of the Sword
3%
Pragmata
3%
Fable
3%
Esoteric Ebb
2%
Stranger Than Heaven
2%
007 First Light
2%
Marathon
2%
Forza Horizon 6
2%
Slay the Spire 2
2%
Cairn
1%
Mouse: P.I. For Hire
1%
Half-Life 3
<1%
Reanimal
<1%
Grand Theft Auto VI 61%
Resident Evil Requiem 9%
Phantom Blade Zero 7.2%
Marvel's Wolverine 5.6%
$16,430 Vol.
$16,430 Vol.
Grand Theft Auto VI
61%
Resident Evil Requiem
9%
Phantom Blade Zero
7%
Marvel's Wolverine
6%
Gears of War: E-Day
4%
Nioh 3
4%
Exodus
4%
Control Resonant
4%
Crimson Desert
3%
Saros
3%
The Duskbloods
3%
Onimusha: Way of the Sword
3%
Pragmata
3%
Fable
3%
Esoteric Ebb
2%
Stranger Than Heaven
2%
007 First Light
2%
Marathon
2%
Forza Horizon 6
2%
Slay the Spire 2
2%
Cairn
1%
Mouse: P.I. For Hire
1%
Half-Life 3
<1%
Reanimal
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year.
If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 3:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed video game that wins the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year.
If a game is not officially nominated for the 2026 Game Award for Game of the Year when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated game whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Game Awards, including data from their website (e.g., https://thegameawards.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Grand Theft Auto VI leads The Game Awards Game of the Year market at 60.5% implied probability, driven by its confirmed November 19, 2026 release and unprecedented cultural anticipation as Rockstar's next open-world epic. Traders see strong momentum from pre-order activity and marketing buildup, though the tight window before the December 10 ceremony creates eligibility and review risks that cap its odds below certainty. Lower-priced contenders like Resident Evil Requiem (8.5%) and Phantom Blade Zero (7.1%) draw support from strong critical tracking and series pedigree, while Marvel's Wolverine and Gears of War: E-Day sit further back on guild-style buzz and platform timing. With nominations likely reflecting recent Metacritic leaders and streaming metrics, the market favors GTA VI's scale but prices in volatility from late-year releases and historical upsets at the ceremony.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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