Helena Foulkes holds a commanding lead in Rhode Island’s Democratic primary for governor, scheduled for September 9, 2026, as traders price her victory probability near 89 percent. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows her maintaining a double-digit edge over incumbent Dan McKee, though McKee has narrowed the gap since spring by doubling his support among likely primary voters. The race features a rematch of the 2022 contest, with both candidates positioning as mainstream Democrats and no major ideological divide. A late August debate and the state party’s earlier decision not to endorse have kept attention on Foulkes’ fundraising and name recognition advantages. Minor candidates remain at negligible levels in both surveys and market pricing, reflecting limited path to viability before the primary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHelena Foulkes 88.9%
Dan McKee 11.3%
Gregory Stevens <1%
Joe Shekarchi <1%
$25,171 Vol.
$25,171 Vol.
Helena Foulkes
89%
Dan McKee
11%
Gregory Stevens
<1%
Joe Shekarchi
<1%
Helena Foulkes 88.9%
Dan McKee 11.3%
Gregory Stevens <1%
Joe Shekarchi <1%
$25,171 Vol.
$25,171 Vol.
Helena Foulkes
89%
Dan McKee
11%
Gregory Stevens
<1%
Joe Shekarchi
<1%
If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Dec 10, 2025, 11:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Democratic Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Democratic Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Helena Foulkes holds a commanding lead in Rhode Island’s Democratic primary for governor, scheduled for September 9, 2026, as traders price her victory probability near 89 percent. Recent University of New Hampshire polling shows her maintaining a double-digit edge over incumbent Dan McKee, though McKee has narrowed the gap since spring by doubling his support among likely primary voters. The race features a rematch of the 2022 contest, with both candidates positioning as mainstream Democrats and no major ideological divide. A late August debate and the state party’s earlier decision not to endorse have kept attention on Foulkes’ fundraising and name recognition advantages. Minor candidates remain at negligible levels in both surveys and market pricing, reflecting limited path to viability before the primary.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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