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Politics·Mexico

Querétaro Governor Election Winner

icon for Querétaro Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Querétaro Governor Election Winner

Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero 54%

Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera 34%

Astrid Alejandra Ortega Vázquez 10%

Gilberto Herrera Ruiz 5%

Polymarket
NEW

Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero 54%

Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera 34%

Astrid Alejandra Ortega Vázquez 10%

Gilberto Herrera Ruiz 5%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero

Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero

$1,070 Vol.

54%

icon for Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera

Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera

$1,351 Vol.

34%

icon for Astrid Alejandra Ortega Vázquez

Astrid Alejandra Ortega Vázquez

$86 Vol.

10%

icon for Gilberto Herrera Ruiz

Gilberto Herrera Ruiz

$128 Vol.

5%

icon for Teresa Calzada Rovirosa

Teresa Calzada Rovirosa

$165 Vol.

5%

icon for Santiago Nieto Castillo

Santiago Nieto Castillo

$179 Vol.

4%

icon for Laura Patricia Polo Herrera

Laura Patricia Polo Herrera

$227 Vol.

4%

icon for Paulina Aguado Romero

Paulina Aguado Romero

$216 Vol.

4%

icon for Agustín Dorantes Lámbarri

Agustín Dorantes Lámbarri

$182 Vol.

4%

icon for Guadalupe Murguía Gutiérrez

Guadalupe Murguía Gutiérrez

$199 Vol.

3%

icon for Paul Ospital Carrera

Paul Ospital Carrera

$168 Vol.

3%

icon for Abigail Arredondo Ramos

Abigail Arredondo Ramos

$158 Vol.

3%

icon for Josué Guerrero Trápala

Josué Guerrero Trápala

$158 Vol.

3%

icon for Mario Mauro Ramírez González

Mario Mauro Ramírez González

$480 Vol.

3%

icon for Manuel Garrido Patrón

Manuel Garrido Patrón

$670 Vol.

2%

icon for Marco Antonio Del Prete Tercero

Marco Antonio Del Prete Tercero

$228 Vol.

1%

icon for José María Tapia Franco

José María Tapia Franco

$158 Vol.

1%

icon for Ricardo Astudillo Suárez

Ricardo Astudillo Suárez

$155 Vol.

1%

icon for Beatriz Robles Gutiérrez

Beatriz Robles Gutiérrez

$219 Vol.

1%

icon for Agustín Hernández Ortiz

Agustín Hernández Ortiz

$155 Vol.

1%

icon for Luis Humberto Fernández Fuentes

Luis Humberto Fernández Fuentes

$1,398 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Querétaro on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Querétaro and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Querétaro and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero holds the lead in trader pricing for the June 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial election, reflecting consistent advantages in recent PAN internal surveys and the party's entrenched position in the state. Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera trails as the main intra-party rival, with other listed contenders including Santiago Nieto Castillo and lower-polling options remaining distant. The race stays tight because the contest is still more than nine months away, candidate selection processes within PAN have not concluded, and general-election polling shows the party ahead but vulnerable to shifts in voter turnout or opposition consolidation. Potential separators include formal PAN nomination outcomes, new statewide surveys on economic or security perceptions, or major campaign announcements that could consolidate or erode Nava's current edge among traders.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Querétaro on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Querétaro and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Querétaro and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$7,751
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Querétaro on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Querétaro and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Querétaro and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Querétaro on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Querétaro and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Querétaro and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero holds the lead in trader pricing for the June 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial election, reflecting consistent advantages in recent PAN internal surveys and the party's entrenched position in the state. Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera trails as the main intra-party rival, with other listed contenders including Santiago Nieto Castillo and lower-polling options remaining distant. The race stays tight because the contest is still more than nine months away, candidate selection processes within PAN have not concluded, and general-election polling shows the party ahead but vulnerable to shifts in voter turnout or opposition consolidation. Potential separators include formal PAN nomination outcomes, new statewide surveys on economic or security perceptions, or major campaign announcements that could consolidate or erode Nava's current edge among traders.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Querétaro on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Querétaro and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Querétaro and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$7,751
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Querétaro on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Querétaro gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Querétaro and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Querétaro and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Querétaro Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero" at 54%, followed by "Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 54¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Querétaro Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Querétaro Governor Election Winner," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Querétaro Governor Election Winner" is "Luis Bernardo Nava Guerrero" at 54%, meaning the market assigns a 54% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Felipe Fernando Macías Olvera" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Querétaro Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.