The open seat in Minnesota's 2nd congressional district, vacated by Democratic incumbent Angie Craig's Senate bid, sits in a D+3 Partisan Voter Index environment where recent Democratic nominees have held the advantage through suburban Twin Cities voters. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the general election as Likely Democratic following Matt Little's August 11 primary victory, reflecting consistent polling trends and fundraising edges that have sustained the party's strong positioning in trader assessments. Republican nominee Eric Pratt faces structural headwinds in a district that favored Democrats by roughly five points in the prior cycle. Late developments such as a national Republican surge, turnout shifts among key demographics, or unforeseen candidate controversies remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMN-02 House Election Winner
MN-02 House Election Winner
$18,727 Vol.
$18,727 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
9%
$18,727 Vol.
$18,727 Vol.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,415 Vol.
92%
Republican Party
$10,312 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Minnesota's 2nd congressional district, vacated by Democratic incumbent Angie Craig's Senate bid, sits in a D+3 Partisan Voter Index environment where recent Democratic nominees have held the advantage through suburban Twin Cities voters. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the general election as Likely Democratic following Matt Little's August 11 primary victory, reflecting consistent polling trends and fundraising edges that have sustained the party's strong positioning in trader assessments. Republican nominee Eric Pratt faces structural headwinds in a district that favored Democrats by roughly five points in the prior cycle. Late developments such as a national Republican surge, turnout shifts among key demographics, or unforeseen candidate controversies remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ET
Volume
$18,727End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Minnesota's 2nd congressional district, vacated by Democratic incumbent Angie Craig's Senate bid, sits in a D+3 Partisan Voter Index environment where recent Democratic nominees have held the advantage through suburban Twin Cities voters. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the general election as Likely Democratic following Matt Little's August 11 primary victory, reflecting consistent polling trends and fundraising edges that have sustained the party's strong positioning in trader assessments. Republican nominee Eric Pratt faces structural headwinds in a district that favored Democrats by roughly five points in the prior cycle. Late developments such as a national Republican surge, turnout shifts among key demographics, or unforeseen candidate controversies remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$18,727End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 12:08 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Minnesota's 2nd congressional district, vacated by Democratic incumbent Angie Craig's Senate bid, sits in a D+3 Partisan Voter Index environment where recent Democratic nominees have held the advantage through suburban Twin Cities voters. Multiple nonpartisan forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the general election as Likely Democratic following Matt Little's August 11 primary victory, reflecting consistent polling trends and fundraising edges that have sustained the party's strong positioning in trader assessments. Republican nominee Eric Pratt faces structural headwinds in a district that favored Democrats by roughly five points in the prior cycle. Late developments such as a national Republican surge, turnout shifts among key demographics, or unforeseen candidate controversies remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions