Tennessee's 8th congressional district has long leaned Republican, and recent redistricting approved in May 2026 further strengthened that tilt by adjusting boundaries around Memphis suburbs and rural West Tennessee areas while preserving a Cook Partisan Voting Index near R+10. Incumbent Republican David Kustoff, first elected in 2016 and re-elected with over 72 percent in 2024, advanced unopposed or with minimal opposition through the August 6, 2026 primary, facing no significant primary challenge. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Limited Democratic primary activity and the absence of a high-profile general-election opponent reinforce trader consensus on a Republican hold. A major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic environment could narrow the margin, though structural advantages make such shifts unlikely before the November 3, 2026 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTN-08 House Election Winner
TN-08 House Election Winner
$30,768 Vol.
$30,768 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
6%
$30,768 Vol.
$30,768 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$18,242 Vol.
92%
Democratic Party
$12,526 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 8th congressional district has long leaned Republican, and recent redistricting approved in May 2026 further strengthened that tilt by adjusting boundaries around Memphis suburbs and rural West Tennessee areas while preserving a Cook Partisan Voting Index near R+10. Incumbent Republican David Kustoff, first elected in 2016 and re-elected with over 72 percent in 2024, advanced unopposed or with minimal opposition through the August 6, 2026 primary, facing no significant primary challenge. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Limited Democratic primary activity and the absence of a high-profile general-election opponent reinforce trader consensus on a Republican hold. A major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic environment could narrow the margin, though structural advantages make such shifts unlikely before the November 3, 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$30,768End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 8th congressional district has long leaned Republican, and recent redistricting approved in May 2026 further strengthened that tilt by adjusting boundaries around Memphis suburbs and rural West Tennessee areas while preserving a Cook Partisan Voting Index near R+10. Incumbent Republican David Kustoff, first elected in 2016 and re-elected with over 72 percent in 2024, advanced unopposed or with minimal opposition through the August 6, 2026 primary, facing no significant primary challenge. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Limited Democratic primary activity and the absence of a high-profile general-election opponent reinforce trader consensus on a Republican hold. A major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic environment could narrow the margin, though structural advantages make such shifts unlikely before the November 3, 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$30,768End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 8th congressional district has long leaned Republican, and recent redistricting approved in May 2026 further strengthened that tilt by adjusting boundaries around Memphis suburbs and rural West Tennessee areas while preserving a Cook Partisan Voting Index near R+10. Incumbent Republican David Kustoff, first elected in 2016 and re-elected with over 72 percent in 2024, advanced unopposed or with minimal opposition through the August 6, 2026 primary, facing no significant primary challenge. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Decision Desk HQ rate the seat Solid or Safe Republican. Limited Democratic primary activity and the absence of a high-profile general-election opponent reinforce trader consensus on a Republican hold. A major scandal, health issue for the incumbent, or an unusually strong national Democratic environment could narrow the margin, though structural advantages make such shifts unlikely before the November 3, 2026 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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