Incumbent Democrat Kelly Morrison holds a strong position in Minnesota's 3rd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, supported by nonpartisan race ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. The district's consistent lean toward Democratic candidates, demonstrated in the 2024 contest where Morrison secured nearly 58 percent of the vote, underpins trader consensus reflected in current Polymarket pricing. Recent Republican primary results on August 11 produced Tyler Bass as the nominee, yet limited early polling and fundraising data have not shifted expectations. Factors that could narrow the gap include a broad national Republican surge, significant shifts in suburban voter turnout patterns, or late-cycle developments such as candidate controversies or major policy announcements affecting the district.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMN-03 House Election Winner
MN-03 House Election Winner
$17,231 Vol.
$17,231 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
6%
$17,231 Vol.
$17,231 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,709 Vol.
94%
Republican Party
$9,522 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kelly Morrison holds a strong position in Minnesota's 3rd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, supported by nonpartisan race ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. The district's consistent lean toward Democratic candidates, demonstrated in the 2024 contest where Morrison secured nearly 58 percent of the vote, underpins trader consensus reflected in current Polymarket pricing. Recent Republican primary results on August 11 produced Tyler Bass as the nominee, yet limited early polling and fundraising data have not shifted expectations. Factors that could narrow the gap include a broad national Republican surge, significant shifts in suburban voter turnout patterns, or late-cycle developments such as candidate controversies or major policy announcements affecting the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Volume
$17,231End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kelly Morrison holds a strong position in Minnesota's 3rd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, supported by nonpartisan race ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. The district's consistent lean toward Democratic candidates, demonstrated in the 2024 contest where Morrison secured nearly 58 percent of the vote, underpins trader consensus reflected in current Polymarket pricing. Recent Republican primary results on August 11 produced Tyler Bass as the nominee, yet limited early polling and fundraising data have not shifted expectations. Factors that could narrow the gap include a broad national Republican surge, significant shifts in suburban voter turnout patterns, or late-cycle developments such as candidate controversies or major policy announcements affecting the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,231End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kelly Morrison holds a strong position in Minnesota's 3rd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, supported by nonpartisan race ratings classifying the seat as solid or safe Democratic. The district's consistent lean toward Democratic candidates, demonstrated in the 2024 contest where Morrison secured nearly 58 percent of the vote, underpins trader consensus reflected in current Polymarket pricing. Recent Republican primary results on August 11 produced Tyler Bass as the nominee, yet limited early polling and fundraising data have not shifted expectations. Factors that could narrow the gap include a broad national Republican surge, significant shifts in suburban voter turnout patterns, or late-cycle developments such as candidate controversies or major policy announcements affecting the district.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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