State Senator Scott Wiener holds a clear lead in the November 2026 general election for California’s 11th Congressional District, an overwhelmingly Democratic seat vacated by retiring Representative Nancy Pelosi. Wiener secured the top spot in the June primary with roughly 41 percent of the vote compared to San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan’s 30 percent, giving him momentum heading into the general. Chan received Pelosi’s endorsement and support from progressive groups, while Wiener benefits from broader Democratic Party backing and stronger primary turnout among key voting blocs. With no other candidates advancing and the district’s partisan lean heavily favoring Democrats, traders view Wiener as the frontrunner absent major late shifts in turnout or campaign developments before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Scott Wiener
69%
Connie Chan
32%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Scott Wiener
$1,908 Vol.
69%
Connie Chan
$1,976 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).State Senator Scott Wiener holds a clear lead in the November 2026 general election for California’s 11th Congressional District, an overwhelmingly Democratic seat vacated by retiring Representative Nancy Pelosi. Wiener secured the top spot in the June primary with roughly 41 percent of the vote compared to San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan’s 30 percent, giving him momentum heading into the general. Chan received Pelosi’s endorsement and support from progressive groups, while Wiener benefits from broader Democratic Party backing and stronger primary turnout among key voting blocs. With no other candidates advancing and the district’s partisan lean heavily favoring Democrats, traders view Wiener as the frontrunner absent major late shifts in turnout or campaign developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ET
Volume
$3,884End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).State Senator Scott Wiener holds a clear lead in the November 2026 general election for California’s 11th Congressional District, an overwhelmingly Democratic seat vacated by retiring Representative Nancy Pelosi. Wiener secured the top spot in the June primary with roughly 41 percent of the vote compared to San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan’s 30 percent, giving him momentum heading into the general. Chan received Pelosi’s endorsement and support from progressive groups, while Wiener benefits from broader Democratic Party backing and stronger primary turnout among key voting blocs. With no other candidates advancing and the district’s partisan lean heavily favoring Democrats, traders view Wiener as the frontrunner absent major late shifts in turnout or campaign developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the individual who wins the CA-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$3,884End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 10:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...State Senator Scott Wiener holds a clear lead in the November 2026 general election for California’s 11th Congressional District, an overwhelmingly Democratic seat vacated by retiring Representative Nancy Pelosi. Wiener secured the top spot in the June primary with roughly 41 percent of the vote compared to San Francisco Supervisor Connie Chan’s 30 percent, giving him momentum heading into the general. Chan received Pelosi’s endorsement and support from progressive groups, while Wiener benefits from broader Democratic Party backing and stronger primary turnout among key voting blocs. With no other candidates advancing and the district’s partisan lean heavily favoring Democrats, traders view Wiener as the frontrunner absent major late shifts in turnout or campaign developments before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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