Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a 24°C minimum for Incheon on August 22, supported by regional model consensus showing persistent humidity, mostly cloudy conditions, and limited overnight radiative cooling that have held recent overnight lows near 24–25°C. This aligns with trader emphasis on 24°C as the leading outcome at 54.5% implied probability, followed by 25°C, reflecting modest precipitation chances and steering patterns typical for late-August East Asian monsoon remnants. Historical August climatology in the region places average lows around 23–25°C, while any unexpected clearing could allow slightly lower readings before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 22?
24°C 54%
25°C 32%
23°C 13%
26°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C
3%
23°C
13%
24°C
54%
25°C
32%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 54%
25°C 32%
23°C 13%
26°C 4%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
19°C or below
$84 Vol.
1%
20°C
$77 Vol.
1%
21°C
$65 Vol.
1%
22°C
$198 Vol.
3%
23°C
$242 Vol.
13%
24°C
$1,920 Vol.
54%
25°C
$433 Vol.
32%
26°C
$142 Vol.
4%
27°C
$5 Vol.
1%
28°C
$102 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$72 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a 24°C minimum for Incheon on August 22, supported by regional model consensus showing persistent humidity, mostly cloudy conditions, and limited overnight radiative cooling that have held recent overnight lows near 24–25°C. This aligns with trader emphasis on 24°C as the leading outcome at 54.5% implied probability, followed by 25°C, reflecting modest precipitation chances and steering patterns typical for late-August East Asian monsoon remnants. Historical August climatology in the region places average lows around 23–25°C, while any unexpected clearing could allow slightly lower readings before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$3,275End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a 24°C minimum for Incheon on August 22, supported by regional model consensus showing persistent humidity, mostly cloudy conditions, and limited overnight radiative cooling that have held recent overnight lows near 24–25°C. This aligns with trader emphasis on 24°C as the leading outcome at 54.5% implied probability, followed by 25°C, reflecting modest precipitation chances and steering patterns typical for late-August East Asian monsoon remnants. Historical August climatology in the region places average lows around 23–25°C, while any unexpected clearing could allow slightly lower readings before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in market-implied odds.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,275End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official Korea Meteorological Administration forecasts project a 24°C minimum for Incheon on August 22, supported by regional model consensus showing persistent humidity, mostly cloudy conditions, and limited overnight radiative cooling that have held recent overnight lows near 24–25°C. This aligns with trader emphasis on 24°C as the leading outcome at 54.5% implied probability, followed by 25°C, reflecting modest precipitation chances and steering patterns typical for late-August East Asian monsoon remnants. Historical August climatology in the region places average lows around 23–25°C, while any unexpected clearing could allow slightly lower readings before resolution. Updated model runs and official briefings remain the key near-term catalysts for shifts in market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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