Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and other models point to a minimum temperature near 24–25°C in Busan on August 22, driven by persistent late-summer warmth, high humidity, and coastal moderation from the East Sea that limits overnight radiative cooling. Cloudy skies and scattered showers expected into the period further suppress temperature drops, aligning with historical August lows averaging 23–25°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 25°C outcome at 49.5% implied probability, incorporates these conditions while allowing for minor forecast revisions as new model runs incorporate updated pressure patterns and moisture levels.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Busan on August 22?
Lowest temperature in Busan on August 22?
26°C 37%
27°C 35%
24°C 13%
23°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
6%
23°C
6%
24°C
13%
25°C
49%
26°C
37%
27°C
35%
28°C
6%
29°C
<1%
30°C or higher
<1%
26°C 37%
27°C 35%
24°C 13%
23°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 22, 2026
20°C or below
$38 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$88 Vol.
1%
22°C
$78 Vol.
6%
23°C
$22 Vol.
6%
24°C
$22 Vol.
13%
25°C
$50 Vol.
49%
26°C
$22 Vol.
37%
27°C
$22 Vol.
35%
28°C
$22 Vol.
6%
29°C
$27 Vol.
<1%
30°C or higher
$25 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and other models point to a minimum temperature near 24–25°C in Busan on August 22, driven by persistent late-summer warmth, high humidity, and coastal moderation from the East Sea that limits overnight radiative cooling. Cloudy skies and scattered showers expected into the period further suppress temperature drops, aligning with historical August lows averaging 23–25°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 25°C outcome at 49.5% implied probability, incorporates these conditions while allowing for minor forecast revisions as new model runs incorporate updated pressure patterns and moisture levels.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ET
Volume
$415End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and other models point to a minimum temperature near 24–25°C in Busan on August 22, driven by persistent late-summer warmth, high humidity, and coastal moderation from the East Sea that limits overnight radiative cooling. Cloudy skies and scattered showers expected into the period further suppress temperature drops, aligning with historical August lows averaging 23–25°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 25°C outcome at 49.5% implied probability, incorporates these conditions while allowing for minor forecast revisions as new model runs incorporate updated pressure patterns and moisture levels.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$415End Date
Aug 22, 2026Market Opened
Aug 20, 2026, 1:33 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and other models point to a minimum temperature near 24–25°C in Busan on August 22, driven by persistent late-summer warmth, high humidity, and coastal moderation from the East Sea that limits overnight radiative cooling. Cloudy skies and scattered showers expected into the period further suppress temperature drops, aligning with historical August lows averaging 23–25°C. Trader consensus, reflected in the leading 25°C outcome at 49.5% implied probability, incorporates these conditions while allowing for minor forecast revisions as new model runs incorporate updated pressure patterns and moisture levels.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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