Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center converge on a Moscow maximum near 24°C for August 17, driven by mostly cloudy skies and light northwest winds that restrict daytime heating. Narrow model spread keeps guidance between 23–26°C, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 23–24°C outcomes amid typical late-summer Atlantic-influenced patterns. Modest moisture and stable steering further suppress extremes, while historical August baselines around 20–22°C provide context for the modest warming. Traders are monitoring final model runs and any overnight changes in cloud cover ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Moscow on August 17?
Highest temperature in Moscow on August 17?
24°C 45%
23°C 32%
25°C 13%
22°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
9%
23°C
32%
24°C
45%
25°C
13%
26°C
3%
27°C
2%
28°C
1%
29°C or higher
<1%
24°C 45%
23°C 32%
25°C 13%
22°C 9%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
19°C or below
$304 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$259 Vol.
1%
21°C
$214 Vol.
2%
22°C
$571 Vol.
9%
23°C
$732 Vol.
32%
24°C
$1,016 Vol.
45%
25°C
$1,309 Vol.
13%
26°C
$348 Vol.
3%
27°C
$352 Vol.
2%
28°C
$551 Vol.
1%
29°C or higher
$700 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center converge on a Moscow maximum near 24°C for August 17, driven by mostly cloudy skies and light northwest winds that restrict daytime heating. Narrow model spread keeps guidance between 23–26°C, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 23–24°C outcomes amid typical late-summer Atlantic-influenced patterns. Modest moisture and stable steering further suppress extremes, while historical August baselines around 20–22°C provide context for the modest warming. Traders are monitoring final model runs and any overnight changes in cloud cover ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ET
Volume
$6,356End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center converge on a Moscow maximum near 24°C for August 17, driven by mostly cloudy skies and light northwest winds that restrict daytime heating. Narrow model spread keeps guidance between 23–26°C, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 23–24°C outcomes amid typical late-summer Atlantic-influenced patterns. Modest moisture and stable steering further suppress extremes, while historical August baselines around 20–22°C provide context for the modest warming. Traders are monitoring final model runs and any overnight changes in cloud cover ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Vnukovo International Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=UUWW
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$6,356End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:07 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from ECMWF, GFS, and Russia's Hydrometeorological Center converge on a Moscow maximum near 24°C for August 17, driven by mostly cloudy skies and light northwest winds that restrict daytime heating. Narrow model spread keeps guidance between 23–26°C, aligning with the market's strong weighting toward 23–24°C outcomes amid typical late-summer Atlantic-influenced patterns. Modest moisture and stable steering further suppress extremes, while historical August baselines around 20–22°C provide context for the modest warming. Traders are monitoring final model runs and any overnight changes in cloud cover ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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