Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a probable daily maximum near 36–37°C for Chongqing on August 17, with some guidance reaching 38–39°C under continued subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity. Light rain showers or increased cloud cover in several ensembles could cap temperatures below peak heatwave values seen earlier in August, while clearer periods support the upper end of the range. Historical August averages near 34–35°C provide context, but current steering patterns and moisture transport introduce enough variability that trader consensus clusters on 37°C and 38°C outcomes. Updated model cycles and official CMA guidance expected overnight will further refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 17?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 17?
37°C 40%
38°C 34%
36°C 13%
39°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
33°C or below
<1%
34°C
2%
35°C
4%
36°C
13%
37°C
40%
38°C
34%
39°C
11%
40°C
2%
41°C
1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
37°C 40%
38°C 34%
36°C 13%
39°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 17, 2026
33°C or below
$907 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$42 Vol.
2%
35°C
$16 Vol.
4%
36°C
$480 Vol.
13%
37°C
$949 Vol.
40%
38°C
$411 Vol.
34%
39°C
$195 Vol.
11%
40°C
$803 Vol.
2%
41°C
$439 Vol.
1%
42°C
$35 Vol.
<1%
43°C or higher
$581 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a probable daily maximum near 36–37°C for Chongqing on August 17, with some guidance reaching 38–39°C under continued subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity. Light rain showers or increased cloud cover in several ensembles could cap temperatures below peak heatwave values seen earlier in August, while clearer periods support the upper end of the range. Historical August averages near 34–35°C provide context, but current steering patterns and moisture transport introduce enough variability that trader consensus clusters on 37°C and 38°C outcomes. Updated model cycles and official CMA guidance expected overnight will further refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ET
Volume
$4,857End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a probable daily maximum near 36–37°C for Chongqing on August 17, with some guidance reaching 38–39°C under continued subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity. Light rain showers or increased cloud cover in several ensembles could cap temperatures below peak heatwave values seen earlier in August, while clearer periods support the upper end of the range. Historical August averages near 34–35°C provide context, but current steering patterns and moisture transport introduce enough variability that trader consensus clusters on 37°C and 38°C outcomes. Updated model cycles and official CMA guidance expected overnight will further refine these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,857End Date
Aug 17, 2026Market Opened
Aug 15, 2026, 4:06 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast model runs from agencies including the UK Met Office and BBC Weather indicate a probable daily maximum near 36–37°C for Chongqing on August 17, with some guidance reaching 38–39°C under continued subtropical high pressure and elevated humidity. Light rain showers or increased cloud cover in several ensembles could cap temperatures below peak heatwave values seen earlier in August, while clearer periods support the upper end of the range. Historical August averages near 34–35°C provide context, but current steering patterns and moisture transport introduce enough variability that trader consensus clusters on 37°C and 38°C outcomes. Updated model cycles and official CMA guidance expected overnight will further refine these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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