OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol currently trails Anthropic's leading Claude models on Humanity's Last Exam, a PhD-level multimodal benchmark of expert reasoning across math, science, and other domains, with top scores reaching 49.5% versus Claude Fable 5's 55.5%. Rapid gains since the benchmark's early 2025 launch—driven by larger training runs, adaptive reasoning techniques, and iterative model releases—have pushed frontier large language models well beyond initial single-digit results. OpenAI continues frequent GPT-5 updates and internal scaling efforts, but Anthropic and Google DeepMind maintain competitive edges in current evaluations. Traders watch for potential late-2026 OpenAI model launches or capability jumps that could close the gap before year-end resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$29,404 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
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$29,404 Vol.
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$4,838 Vol.
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$6,878 Vol.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol currently trails Anthropic's leading Claude models on Humanity's Last Exam, a PhD-level multimodal benchmark of expert reasoning across math, science, and other domains, with top scores reaching 49.5% versus Claude Fable 5's 55.5%. Rapid gains since the benchmark's early 2025 launch—driven by larger training runs, adaptive reasoning techniques, and iterative model releases—have pushed frontier large language models well beyond initial single-digit results. OpenAI continues frequent GPT-5 updates and internal scaling efforts, but Anthropic and Google DeepMind maintain competitive edges in current evaluations. Traders watch for potential late-2026 OpenAI model launches or capability jumps that could close the gap before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Market Opened: Jul 23, 2026, 6:53 PM ET
Volume
$29,404End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 6:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol currently trails Anthropic's leading Claude models on Humanity's Last Exam, a PhD-level multimodal benchmark of expert reasoning across math, science, and other domains, with top scores reaching 49.5% versus Claude Fable 5's 55.5%. Rapid gains since the benchmark's early 2025 launch—driven by larger training runs, adaptive reasoning techniques, and iterative model releases—have pushed frontier large language models well beyond initial single-digit results. OpenAI continues frequent GPT-5 updates and internal scaling efforts, but Anthropic and Google DeepMind maintain competitive edges in current evaluations. Traders watch for potential late-2026 OpenAI model launches or capability jumps that could close the gap before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model published by OpenAI achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$29,404End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 23, 2026, 6:53 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...OpenAI's GPT-5.6 Sol currently trails Anthropic's leading Claude models on Humanity's Last Exam, a PhD-level multimodal benchmark of expert reasoning across math, science, and other domains, with top scores reaching 49.5% versus Claude Fable 5's 55.5%. Rapid gains since the benchmark's early 2025 launch—driven by larger training runs, adaptive reasoning techniques, and iterative model releases—have pushed frontier large language models well beyond initial single-digit results. OpenAI continues frequent GPT-5 updates and internal scaling efforts, but Anthropic and Google DeepMind maintain competitive edges in current evaluations. Traders watch for potential late-2026 OpenAI model launches or capability jumps that could close the gap before year-end resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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