Republican incumbent Scott Franklin seeks a fourth term in Florida’s 18th congressional district, where he secured 65.3 percent of the vote in 2024 against the Democratic nominee. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8 and encompasses inland central Florida counties including much of Polk along with DeSoto, Hardee, Highlands, and Okeechobee. Franklin faces Democratic nominee Curtis Gibson and independent Deva Simmons in the November 3, 2026 general election; both party primaries are effectively uncontested ahead of the August 18 voting date. Forecasters rate the contest Solid R or Safe R, consistent with the district’s consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles and the absence of notable campaign developments that would alter its partisan baseline. Trader pricing reflects these structural factors and the limited path for a Democratic upset in the current environment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFL-18 House Election Winner
FL-18 House Election Winner
$29,046 Vol.
$29,046 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
12%
$29,046 Vol.
$29,046 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$17,663 Vol.
87%
Democratic Party
$11,383 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Scott Franklin seeks a fourth term in Florida’s 18th congressional district, where he secured 65.3 percent of the vote in 2024 against the Democratic nominee. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8 and encompasses inland central Florida counties including much of Polk along with DeSoto, Hardee, Highlands, and Okeechobee. Franklin faces Democratic nominee Curtis Gibson and independent Deva Simmons in the November 3, 2026 general election; both party primaries are effectively uncontested ahead of the August 18 voting date. Forecasters rate the contest Solid R or Safe R, consistent with the district’s consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles and the absence of notable campaign developments that would alter its partisan baseline. Trader pricing reflects these structural factors and the limited path for a Democratic upset in the current environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Volume
$29,046End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Scott Franklin seeks a fourth term in Florida’s 18th congressional district, where he secured 65.3 percent of the vote in 2024 against the Democratic nominee. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8 and encompasses inland central Florida counties including much of Polk along with DeSoto, Hardee, Highlands, and Okeechobee. Franklin faces Democratic nominee Curtis Gibson and independent Deva Simmons in the November 3, 2026 general election; both party primaries are effectively uncontested ahead of the August 18 voting date. Forecasters rate the contest Solid R or Safe R, consistent with the district’s consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles and the absence of notable campaign developments that would alter its partisan baseline. Trader pricing reflects these structural factors and the limited path for a Democratic upset in the current environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-18 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$29,046End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Scott Franklin seeks a fourth term in Florida’s 18th congressional district, where he secured 65.3 percent of the vote in 2024 against the Democratic nominee. The district carries a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+8 and encompasses inland central Florida counties including much of Polk along with DeSoto, Hardee, Highlands, and Okeechobee. Franklin faces Democratic nominee Curtis Gibson and independent Deva Simmons in the November 3, 2026 general election; both party primaries are effectively uncontested ahead of the August 18 voting date. Forecasters rate the contest Solid R or Safe R, consistent with the district’s consistent Republican tilt in recent cycles and the absence of notable campaign developments that would alter its partisan baseline. Trader pricing reflects these structural factors and the limited path for a Democratic upset in the current environment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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