Florida's 19th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14 and holds Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent voter preferences in recent cycles. Incumbent Byron Donalds is retiring to pursue the governorship, leaving an open seat with a crowded Republican primary scheduled for August 18, 2026, while Democratic contenders remain limited. Recent polling shows a fragmented GOP field ahead of the primary, yet all viable nominees enter the November general election with substantial structural advantages in fundraising and voter registration. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though a late primary consolidation around a polarizing nominee or an unusually strong national Democratic environment could narrow margins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFL-19 House Election Winner
FL-19 House Election Winner
$17,379 Vol.
$17,379 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$17,379 Vol.
$17,379 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$5,769 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$11,610 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14 and holds Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent voter preferences in recent cycles. Incumbent Byron Donalds is retiring to pursue the governorship, leaving an open seat with a crowded Republican primary scheduled for August 18, 2026, while Democratic contenders remain limited. Recent polling shows a fragmented GOP field ahead of the primary, yet all viable nominees enter the November general election with substantial structural advantages in fundraising and voter registration. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though a late primary consolidation around a polarizing nominee or an unusually strong national Democratic environment could narrow margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$17,379End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 19th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14 and holds Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent voter preferences in recent cycles. Incumbent Byron Donalds is retiring to pursue the governorship, leaving an open seat with a crowded Republican primary scheduled for August 18, 2026, while Democratic contenders remain limited. Recent polling shows a fragmented GOP field ahead of the primary, yet all viable nominees enter the November general election with substantial structural advantages in fundraising and voter registration. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though a late primary consolidation around a polarizing nominee or an unusually strong national Democratic environment could narrow margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$17,379End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 19th congressional district carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+14 and holds Safe Republican ratings from major forecasters, reflecting consistent voter preferences in recent cycles. Incumbent Byron Donalds is retiring to pursue the governorship, leaving an open seat with a crowded Republican primary scheduled for August 18, 2026, while Democratic contenders remain limited. Recent polling shows a fragmented GOP field ahead of the primary, yet all viable nominees enter the November general election with substantial structural advantages in fundraising and voter registration. Trader consensus reflects these fundamentals, though a late primary consolidation around a polarizing nominee or an unusually strong national Democratic environment could narrow margins.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions