The Traitors stands as the clear frontrunner for the 2026 Emmy in Outstanding Reality Competition Program, with nominations announced July 8 placing it alongside RuPaul’s Drag Race, Top Chef, Survivor, and Dancing with the Stars. Expert forecasts such as the Hollywood Reporter’s Feinberg Forecast project a decisive win for the Peacock series, reflecting its recent category momentum, strong production values, and consistent industry recognition. The other nominees trail due to narrower voter appeal or longer gaps since prior success, with Dancing with the Stars earning its first nomination in this category in a decade. Voting remains open ahead of the September 14 ceremony, where guild and critic consensus will likely reinforce the current market ordering unless late developments shift sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedEmmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series
Emmys 2026: Outstanding reality/competition series
“The Traitors” 81.9%
“RuPaul’s Drag Race” 8.8%
“Top Chef” 4.5%
“Survivor” 4.3%
$18,440 Vol.
$18,440 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
“The Traitors”
82%
“RuPaul’s Drag Race”
9%
“Top Chef”
5%
“Survivor”
4%
“Dancing with the Stars”
1%
“The Traitors” 81.9%
“RuPaul’s Drag Race” 8.8%
“Top Chef” 4.5%
“Survivor” 4.3%
$18,440 Vol.
$18,440 Vol.
Sep 14, 2026
“The Traitors”
$5,379 Vol.
82%
“RuPaul’s Drag Race”
$2,093 Vol.
9%
“Top Chef”
$993 Vol.
5%
“Survivor”
$8,507 Vol.
4%
“Dancing with the Stars”
$1,469 Vol.
1%
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Traitors stands as the clear frontrunner for the 2026 Emmy in Outstanding Reality Competition Program, with nominations announced July 8 placing it alongside RuPaul’s Drag Race, Top Chef, Survivor, and Dancing with the Stars. Expert forecasts such as the Hollywood Reporter’s Feinberg Forecast project a decisive win for the Peacock series, reflecting its recent category momentum, strong production values, and consistent industry recognition. The other nominees trail due to narrower voter appeal or longer gaps since prior success, with Dancing with the Stars earning its first nomination in this category in a decade. Voting remains open ahead of the September 14 ceremony, where guild and critic consensus will likely reinforce the current market ordering unless late developments shift sentiment.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ET
Volume
$18,440End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Traitors stands as the clear frontrunner for the 2026 Emmy in Outstanding Reality Competition Program, with nominations announced July 8 placing it alongside RuPaul’s Drag Race, Top Chef, Survivor, and Dancing with the Stars. Expert forecasts such as the Hollywood Reporter’s Feinberg Forecast project a decisive win for the Peacock series, reflecting its recent category momentum, strong production values, and consistent industry recognition. The other nominees trail due to narrower voter appeal or longer gaps since prior success, with Dancing with the Stars earning its first nomination in this category in a decade. Voting remains open ahead of the September 14 ceremony, where guild and critic consensus will likely reinforce the current market ordering unless late developments shift sentiment.
The 78th Primetime Emmy Awards, given by the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences, honor the best in American prime time television programming aired between June 1, 2025, until May 31, 2026. The awards ceremony is scheduled for September 14, 2026, at the Peacock Theater in Downtown Los Angeles, California
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the nominee who wins the 2026 Emmy award for “Outstanding reality/competition series”.
If for any reason no winner is declared by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or in case of overall cancellation or a tie for winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominee which comes first in alphabetical order.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy of Television Arts & Sciences and the Emmys, including data from their websites (e.g. https://theemmys.tv/, https://www.televisionacademy.com/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$18,440End Date
Sep 14, 2026Market Opened
Jul 10, 2026, 10:14 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Traitors stands as the clear frontrunner for the 2026 Emmy in Outstanding Reality Competition Program, with nominations announced July 8 placing it alongside RuPaul’s Drag Race, Top Chef, Survivor, and Dancing with the Stars. Expert forecasts such as the Hollywood Reporter’s Feinberg Forecast project a decisive win for the Peacock series, reflecting its recent category momentum, strong production values, and consistent industry recognition. The other nominees trail due to narrower voter appeal or longer gaps since prior success, with Dancing with the Stars earning its first nomination in this category in a decade. Voting remains open ahead of the September 14 ceremony, where guild and critic consensus will likely reinforce the current market ordering unless late developments shift sentiment.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions