Recent polling averages place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party in a narrow lead or tie with Likud at 21–24 seats, reflecting its appeal among centrist and anti-Netanyahu voters drawn to Eisenkot’s security background as former IDF chief. The race stays tight because the broader Zionist opposition bloc hovers near or below 61 seats while Netanyahu’s partners remain cohesive around 50, with fragmentation between Yashar and the Bennett-Lapid Together list splitting overlapping support. Candidate-list deadlines on September 8, turnout among swing voters, and any late security or economic developments before the October 27 vote could shift projections across the 20–25 seat bands that currently dominate trader pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedIsrael Election: Yashar # of seats?
Israel Election: Yashar # of seats?
20-21 41%
22-23 41%
<20 38%
30+ 36%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<20
38%
20-21
41%
22-23
41%
24-25
35%
26-27
24%
28-29
24%
30+
36%
20-21 41%
22-23 41%
<20 38%
30+ 36%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<20
$0 Vol.
38%
20-21
$0 Vol.
41%
22-23
$0 Vol.
41%
24-25
$0 Vol.
35%
26-27
$0 Vol.
24%
28-29
$0 Vol.
24%
30+
$0 Vol.
36%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party in a narrow lead or tie with Likud at 21–24 seats, reflecting its appeal among centrist and anti-Netanyahu voters drawn to Eisenkot’s security background as former IDF chief. The race stays tight because the broader Zionist opposition bloc hovers near or below 61 seats while Netanyahu’s partners remain cohesive around 50, with fragmentation between Yashar and the Bennett-Lapid Together list splitting overlapping support. Candidate-list deadlines on September 8, turnout among swing voters, and any late security or economic developments before the October 27 vote could shift projections across the 20–25 seat bands that currently dominate trader pricing.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party in a narrow lead or tie with Likud at 21–24 seats, reflecting its appeal among centrist and anti-Netanyahu voters drawn to Eisenkot’s security background as former IDF chief. The race stays tight because the broader Zionist opposition bloc hovers near or below 61 seats while Netanyahu’s partners remain cohesive around 50, with fragmentation between Yashar and the Bennett-Lapid Together list splitting overlapping support. Candidate-list deadlines on September 8, turnout among swing voters, and any late security or economic developments before the October 27 vote could shift projections across the 20–25 seat bands that currently dominate trader pricing.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yashar in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yashar in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$0End Date
Nov 30, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party in a narrow lead or tie with Likud at 21–24 seats, reflecting its appeal among centrist and anti-Netanyahu voters drawn to Eisenkot’s security background as former IDF chief. The race stays tight because the broader Zionist opposition bloc hovers near or below 61 seats while Netanyahu’s partners remain cohesive around 50, with fragmentation between Yashar and the Bennett-Lapid Together list splitting overlapping support. Candidate-list deadlines on September 8, turnout among swing voters, and any late security or economic developments before the October 27 vote could shift projections across the 20–25 seat bands that currently dominate trader pricing.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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