Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election show Yisrael Beiteinu, led by Avigdor Lieberman, fluctuating between roughly 7 and 10 Knesset seats amid broader bloc volatility. Support for the secular right-wing party has held steady in the mid-to-high single digits across surveys from late August into early September, with minor gains or losses tied to shifts among Likud, Yashar, and other right-leaning lists. The tight contest between the 6-7 and 8-9 seat ranges in trader pricing reflects ongoing uncertainty over turnout among Russian-speaking voters, potential last-minute list adjustments, and competition for right-wing seats as parties maneuver near the 3.25% threshold. Scheduled events such as final list submissions by September 9 and ongoing campaign developments could influence final positioning before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated8-9 43%
6-7 41%
10-11 31%
<6 29%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<6
29%
6-7
41%
8-9
43%
10-11
31%
12+
21%
8-9 43%
6-7 41%
10-11 31%
<6 29%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<6
$0 Vol.
29%
6-7
$0 Vol.
41%
8-9
$0 Vol.
43%
10-11
$0 Vol.
31%
12+
$50 Vol.
21%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election show Yisrael Beiteinu, led by Avigdor Lieberman, fluctuating between roughly 7 and 10 Knesset seats amid broader bloc volatility. Support for the secular right-wing party has held steady in the mid-to-high single digits across surveys from late August into early September, with minor gains or losses tied to shifts among Likud, Yashar, and other right-leaning lists. The tight contest between the 6-7 and 8-9 seat ranges in trader pricing reflects ongoing uncertainty over turnout among Russian-speaking voters, potential last-minute list adjustments, and competition for right-wing seats as parties maneuver near the 3.25% threshold. Scheduled events such as final list submissions by September 9 and ongoing campaign developments could influence final positioning before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volume
$50End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election show Yisrael Beiteinu, led by Avigdor Lieberman, fluctuating between roughly 7 and 10 Knesset seats amid broader bloc volatility. Support for the secular right-wing party has held steady in the mid-to-high single digits across surveys from late August into early September, with minor gains or losses tied to shifts among Likud, Yashar, and other right-leaning lists. The tight contest between the 6-7 and 8-9 seat ranges in trader pricing reflects ongoing uncertainty over turnout among Russian-speaking voters, potential last-minute list adjustments, and competition for right-wing seats as parties maneuver near the 3.25% threshold. Scheduled events such as final list submissions by September 9 and ongoing campaign developments could influence final positioning before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If Yisrael Beiteinu contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yisrael Beiteinu merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by Yisrael Beiteinu in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$50End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Israel's October 27 election show Yisrael Beiteinu, led by Avigdor Lieberman, fluctuating between roughly 7 and 10 Knesset seats amid broader bloc volatility. Support for the secular right-wing party has held steady in the mid-to-high single digits across surveys from late August into early September, with minor gains or losses tied to shifts among Likud, Yashar, and other right-leaning lists. The tight contest between the 6-7 and 8-9 seat ranges in trader pricing reflects ongoing uncertainty over turnout among Russian-speaking voters, potential last-minute list adjustments, and competition for right-wing seats as parties maneuver near the 3.25% threshold. Scheduled events such as final list submissions by September 9 and ongoing campaign developments could influence final positioning before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions