Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election place the revived Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) in the 6–8 seat range, aligning with the market's leading 6–7 outcome. The three parties finalized their joint slate in late August after prolonged negotiations over candidate order, enabling more efficient allocation of Arab-sector votes above the 3.25% threshold than separate runs would achieve. Ra'am's decision to contest independently has kept its projected total near 5 seats, while the Joint List's unified list draws consistent support in surveys from outlets such as Maariv, Channel 13, and Israel Hayom. With candidate-list submissions due by September 9 and no major late shifts in Arab turnout indicators or bloc dynamics, traders appear to view 6–7 seats as the most probable result based on current evidence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated6-7 55%
8-9 26%
10-11 24%
<6 23%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<6
23%
6-7
55%
8-9
26%
10-11
24%
12+
12%
6-7 55%
8-9 26%
10-11 24%
<6 23%
NEW
NEW
Nov 30, 2026
<6
$0 Vol.
23%
6-7
$10 Vol.
55%
8-9
$0 Vol.
26%
10-11
$0 Vol.
24%
12+
$71 Vol.
12%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election place the revived Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) in the 6–8 seat range, aligning with the market's leading 6–7 outcome. The three parties finalized their joint slate in late August after prolonged negotiations over candidate order, enabling more efficient allocation of Arab-sector votes above the 3.25% threshold than separate runs would achieve. Ra'am's decision to contest independently has kept its projected total near 5 seats, while the Joint List's unified list draws consistent support in surveys from outlets such as Maariv, Channel 13, and Israel Hayom. With candidate-list submissions due by September 9 and no major late shifts in Arab turnout indicators or bloc dynamics, traders appear to view 6–7 seats as the most probable result based on current evidence.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ET
Volume
$81End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election place the revived Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) in the 6–8 seat range, aligning with the market's leading 6–7 outcome. The three parties finalized their joint slate in late August after prolonged negotiations over candidate order, enabling more efficient allocation of Arab-sector votes above the 3.25% threshold than separate runs would achieve. Ra'am's decision to contest independently has kept its projected total near 5 seats, while the Joint List's unified list draws consistent support in surveys from outlets such as Maariv, Channel 13, and Israel Hayom. With candidate-list submissions due by September 9 and no major late shifts in Arab turnout indicators or bloc dynamics, traders appear to view 6–7 seats as the most probable result based on current evidence.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Joint List in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Joint List in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$81End Date
Oct 27, 2026Market Opened
Sep 4, 2026, 6:14 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages for Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election place the revived Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) in the 6–8 seat range, aligning with the market's leading 6–7 outcome. The three parties finalized their joint slate in late August after prolonged negotiations over candidate order, enabling more efficient allocation of Arab-sector votes above the 3.25% threshold than separate runs would achieve. Ra'am's decision to contest independently has kept its projected total near 5 seats, while the Joint List's unified list draws consistent support in surveys from outlets such as Maariv, Channel 13, and Israel Hayom. With candidate-list submissions due by September 9 and no major late shifts in Arab turnout indicators or bloc dynamics, traders appear to view 6–7 seats as the most probable result based on current evidence.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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