Trump's Truth Social activity has historically averaged 18-20 posts per day in 2025 and 2026, producing weekly totals clustered around 126-140, though single-day spikes above 100 and monthly records near 861 demonstrate substantial variance tied to news cycles. Ongoing developments such as trade policy announcements, the Iran conflict, and domestic initiatives have sustained elevated volumes in recent months. The tight clustering of market probabilities around the 140-179 and 200+ buckets reflects this baseline consistency offset by event-driven fluctuations. Separation among outcomes could emerge from major scheduled developments like legislative actions, diplomatic updates, or court rulings within the August 11-18 window that either suppress or accelerate posting rates. Trader consensus incorporates these patterns of variability without assuming fixed daily output.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedDonald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026?
Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 11 - August 18, 2026?
160-179 28%
140-159 27%
200+ 26%
180-199 15%
$26,496 Vol.
$26,496 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
60-79
1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
5%
120-139
5%
140-159
27%
160-179
28%
180-199
15%
200+
26%
160-179 28%
140-159 27%
200+ 26%
180-199 15%
$26,496 Vol.
$26,496 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
60-79
$1,907 Vol.
1%
80-99
$3,574 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$1,488 Vol.
5%
120-139
$1,093 Vol.
5%
140-159
$1,872 Vol.
27%
160-179
$2,837 Vol.
28%
180-199
$1,662 Vol.
15%
200+
$3,000 Vol.
26%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's Truth Social activity has historically averaged 18-20 posts per day in 2025 and 2026, producing weekly totals clustered around 126-140, though single-day spikes above 100 and monthly records near 861 demonstrate substantial variance tied to news cycles. Ongoing developments such as trade policy announcements, the Iran conflict, and domestic initiatives have sustained elevated volumes in recent months. The tight clustering of market probabilities around the 140-179 and 200+ buckets reflects this baseline consistency offset by event-driven fluctuations. Separation among outcomes could emerge from major scheduled developments like legislative actions, diplomatic updates, or court rulings within the August 11-18 window that either suppress or accelerate posting rates. Trader consensus incorporates these patterns of variability without assuming fixed daily output.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$26,496End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's Truth Social activity has historically averaged 18-20 posts per day in 2025 and 2026, producing weekly totals clustered around 126-140, though single-day spikes above 100 and monthly records near 861 demonstrate substantial variance tied to news cycles. Ongoing developments such as trade policy announcements, the Iran conflict, and domestic initiatives have sustained elevated volumes in recent months. The tight clustering of market probabilities around the 140-179 and 200+ buckets reflects this baseline consistency offset by event-driven fluctuations. Separation among outcomes could emerge from major scheduled developments like legislative actions, diplomatic updates, or court rulings within the August 11-18 window that either suppress or accelerate posting rates. Trader consensus incorporates these patterns of variability without assuming fixed daily output.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$26,496End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump's Truth Social activity has historically averaged 18-20 posts per day in 2025 and 2026, producing weekly totals clustered around 126-140, though single-day spikes above 100 and monthly records near 861 demonstrate substantial variance tied to news cycles. Ongoing developments such as trade policy announcements, the Iran conflict, and domestic initiatives have sustained elevated volumes in recent months. The tight clustering of market probabilities around the 140-179 and 200+ buckets reflects this baseline consistency offset by event-driven fluctuations. Separation among outcomes could emerge from major scheduled developments like legislative actions, diplomatic updates, or court rulings within the August 11-18 window that either suppress or accelerate posting rates. Trader consensus incorporates these patterns of variability without assuming fixed daily output.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions