Ciro Gomes of the PSDB holds the leading position in the Ceará gubernatorial race, with recent surveys from Datafolha, AtlasIntel, and Quaest showing him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas of the PT by margins ranging from 5 to 19 points in first-round scenarios. His prior service as governor from 1991 to 1994, combined with the PSDB nomination and emphasis on public security and state management, has consolidated support ahead of the October 4 first round. The first direct debate on August 9 further highlighted these contrasts. Trader pricing on Polymarket tracks these polling trends, assigning lower probabilities to other contenders such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, Roberto Cláudio, and Camilo Santana amid their limited survey visibility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedCeará Governor Election Winner
Ceará Governor Election Winner
Ciro Gomes 70%
Elmano de Freitas 31%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$135,387 Vol.
$135,387 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
70%
Elmano de Freitas
31%
Eduardo Girão
1%
Roberto Cláudio
<1%
Camilo Santana
<1%
Capitão Wagner
<1%
Ciro Gomes 70%
Elmano de Freitas 31%
Eduardo Girão <1%
Roberto Cláudio <1%
$135,387 Vol.
$135,387 Vol.
Oct 4, 2026
Ciro Gomes
$76,588 Vol.
70%
Elmano de Freitas
$24,064 Vol.
31%
Eduardo Girão
$9,761 Vol.
1%
Roberto Cláudio
$8,244 Vol.
<1%
Camilo Santana
$7,388 Vol.
<1%
Capitão Wagner
$9,342 Vol.
<1%
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes of the PSDB holds the leading position in the Ceará gubernatorial race, with recent surveys from Datafolha, AtlasIntel, and Quaest showing him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas of the PT by margins ranging from 5 to 19 points in first-round scenarios. His prior service as governor from 1991 to 1994, combined with the PSDB nomination and emphasis on public security and state management, has consolidated support ahead of the October 4 first round. The first direct debate on August 9 further highlighted these contrasts. Trader pricing on Polymarket tracks these polling trends, assigning lower probabilities to other contenders such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, Roberto Cláudio, and Camilo Santana amid their limited survey visibility.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ET
Volume
$135,387End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Ciro Gomes of the PSDB holds the leading position in the Ceará gubernatorial race, with recent surveys from Datafolha, AtlasIntel, and Quaest showing him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas of the PT by margins ranging from 5 to 19 points in first-round scenarios. His prior service as governor from 1991 to 1994, combined with the PSDB nomination and emphasis on public security and state management, has consolidated support ahead of the October 4 first round. The first direct debate on August 9 further highlighted these contrasts. Trader pricing on Polymarket tracks these polling trends, assigning lower probabilities to other contenders such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, Roberto Cláudio, and Camilo Santana amid their limited survey visibility.
The Ceará gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$135,387End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Apr 27, 2026, 5:33 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ciro Gomes of the PSDB holds the leading position in the Ceará gubernatorial race, with recent surveys from Datafolha, AtlasIntel, and Quaest showing him ahead of incumbent Elmano de Freitas of the PT by margins ranging from 5 to 19 points in first-round scenarios. His prior service as governor from 1991 to 1994, combined with the PSDB nomination and emphasis on public security and state management, has consolidated support ahead of the October 4 first round. The first direct debate on August 9 further highlighted these contrasts. Trader pricing on Polymarket tracks these polling trends, assigning lower probabilities to other contenders such as Eduardo Girão, Capitão Wagner, Roberto Cláudio, and Camilo Santana amid their limited survey visibility.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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