Argentina's ongoing disinflation trajectory under President Javier Milei's fiscal austerity and tight monetary policy continues to anchor trader expectations for the August 2026 monthly CPI print. Recent data showed July inflation at 2.1% month-over-month, up slightly from 1.9% in June amid seasonal pressures, while the year-over-year rate held near 33.5%. Analysts' consensus forecasts cluster around 2.0-2.1% for August, reflecting persistent but moderating price pressures as the central bank maintains elevated real rates and the economy absorbs prior adjustments. This positioning favors the 1.8-2.0% outcome bin at 51.8% implied probability, with the adjacent 1.5-1.7% range at 30.1% capturing potential for further cooling if regulated and seasonal components ease as they did in prior months. Key upcoming catalysts include the INDEC release in early September and any shifts in exchange-rate or wage dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedArgentina Monthly Inflation - August
Argentina Monthly Inflation - August
1.8-2.0% 50.2%
1.5-1.7% 26.9%
2.1-2.3% 23%
≤1.1% 3.0%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
≤1.1%
3%
1.2-1.4%
1%
1.5-1.7%
27%
1.8-2.0%
50%
2.1-2.3%
23%
2.4-2.6%
1%
2.7-2.9%
1%
3.0%+
1%
1.8-2.0% 50.2%
1.5-1.7% 26.9%
2.1-2.3% 23%
≤1.1% 3.0%
NEW
NEW
Sep 10, 2026
≤1.1%
$90 Vol.
3%
1.2-1.4%
$74 Vol.
1%
1.5-1.7%
$286 Vol.
27%
1.8-2.0%
$524 Vol.
50%
2.1-2.3%
$128 Vol.
23%
2.4-2.6%
$74 Vol.
1%
2.7-2.9%
$59 Vol.
1%
3.0%+
$59 Vol.
1%
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's ongoing disinflation trajectory under President Javier Milei's fiscal austerity and tight monetary policy continues to anchor trader expectations for the August 2026 monthly CPI print. Recent data showed July inflation at 2.1% month-over-month, up slightly from 1.9% in June amid seasonal pressures, while the year-over-year rate held near 33.5%. Analysts' consensus forecasts cluster around 2.0-2.1% for August, reflecting persistent but moderating price pressures as the central bank maintains elevated real rates and the economy absorbs prior adjustments. This positioning favors the 1.8-2.0% outcome bin at 51.8% implied probability, with the adjacent 1.5-1.7% range at 30.1% capturing potential for further cooling if regulated and seasonal components ease as they did in prior months. Key upcoming catalysts include the INDEC release in early September and any shifts in exchange-rate or wage dynamics.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ET
Volume
$1,295End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Argentina's ongoing disinflation trajectory under President Javier Milei's fiscal austerity and tight monetary policy continues to anchor trader expectations for the August 2026 monthly CPI print. Recent data showed July inflation at 2.1% month-over-month, up slightly from 1.9% in June amid seasonal pressures, while the year-over-year rate held near 33.5%. Analysts' consensus forecasts cluster around 2.0-2.1% for August, reflecting persistent but moderating price pressures as the central bank maintains elevated real rates and the economy absorbs prior adjustments. This positioning favors the 1.8-2.0% outcome bin at 51.8% implied probability, with the adjacent 1.5-1.7% range at 30.1% capturing potential for further cooling if regulated and seasonal components ease as they did in prior months. Key upcoming catalysts include the INDEC release in early September and any shifts in exchange-rate or wage dynamics.
This is a market about the monthly variation of consumer prices in Argentina, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the monthly percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) in August 2026 (Variación % mensual Total nacional), according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026.
Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the "Precios al Consumidor" option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the PDF for the figure under "Variación % mensual Total nacional".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release, which reports monthly inflation change to only one decimal point (e.g., 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$1,295End Date
Sep 10, 2026Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 2:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Argentina's ongoing disinflation trajectory under President Javier Milei's fiscal austerity and tight monetary policy continues to anchor trader expectations for the August 2026 monthly CPI print. Recent data showed July inflation at 2.1% month-over-month, up slightly from 1.9% in June amid seasonal pressures, while the year-over-year rate held near 33.5%. Analysts' consensus forecasts cluster around 2.0-2.1% for August, reflecting persistent but moderating price pressures as the central bank maintains elevated real rates and the economy absorbs prior adjustments. This positioning favors the 1.8-2.0% outcome bin at 51.8% implied probability, with the adjacent 1.5-1.7% range at 30.1% capturing potential for further cooling if regulated and seasonal components ease as they did in prior months. Key upcoming catalysts include the INDEC release in early September and any shifts in exchange-rate or wage dynamics.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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