The House passed the Sunshine Protection Act (H.R. 139) in July 2026 by a bipartisan 308-117 margin, advancing a measure that would end biannual clock changes and establish year-round daylight saving time unless states opt out. The bill moved to the Senate, where it was referred to the Commerce Committee and faces an uncertain path amid a narrow window before the scheduled Nov. 1 transition back to standard time. Senate leaders have shown limited momentum on the legislation during the current recess, and prior congressional efforts have stalled despite broad polling support for ending clock changes. President Trump has publicly backed the proposal, yet traders assign a 73% probability against permanence in 2026 due to the procedural hurdles, compressed timeline, and absence of Senate floor action. State-level contingency laws in 19 jurisdictions would activate only upon federal passage, further tying resolution to congressional outcomes before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated27% chance
$13,156 Vol.
$13,156 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
27% chance
$13,156 Vol.
$13,156 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a law with the effect of making Daylight Saving Time the permanent, year-round time across the United States, is enacted into law by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.The House passed the Sunshine Protection Act (H.R. 139) in July 2026 by a bipartisan 308-117 margin, advancing a measure that would end biannual clock changes and establish year-round daylight saving time unless states opt out. The bill moved to the Senate, where it was referred to the Commerce Committee and faces an uncertain path amid a narrow window before the scheduled Nov. 1 transition back to standard time. Senate leaders have shown limited momentum on the legislation during the current recess, and prior congressional efforts have stalled despite broad polling support for ending clock changes. President Trump has publicly backed the proposal, yet traders assign a 73% probability against permanence in 2026 due to the procedural hurdles, compressed timeline, and absence of Senate floor action. State-level contingency laws in 19 jurisdictions would activate only upon federal passage, further tying resolution to congressional outcomes before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a law with the effect of making Daylight Saving Time the permanent, year-round time across the United States, is enacted into law by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
Market Opened: Jul 15, 2026, 3:28 PM ET
Volume
$13,156End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 3:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if a law with the effect of making Daylight Saving Time the permanent, year-round time across the United States, is enacted into law by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.The House passed the Sunshine Protection Act (H.R. 139) in July 2026 by a bipartisan 308-117 margin, advancing a measure that would end biannual clock changes and establish year-round daylight saving time unless states opt out. The bill moved to the Senate, where it was referred to the Commerce Committee and faces an uncertain path amid a narrow window before the scheduled Nov. 1 transition back to standard time. Senate leaders have shown limited momentum on the legislation during the current recess, and prior congressional efforts have stalled despite broad polling support for ending clock changes. President Trump has publicly backed the proposal, yet traders assign a 73% probability against permanence in 2026 due to the procedural hurdles, compressed timeline, and absence of Senate floor action. State-level contingency laws in 19 jurisdictions would activate only upon federal passage, further tying resolution to congressional outcomes before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a law with the effect of making Daylight Saving Time the permanent, year-round time across the United States, is enacted into law by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No".
The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market.
The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/3633) and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$13,156End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 15, 2026, 3:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The House passed the Sunshine Protection Act (H.R. 139) in July 2026 by a bipartisan 308-117 margin, advancing a measure that would end biannual clock changes and establish year-round daylight saving time unless states opt out. The bill moved to the Senate, where it was referred to the Commerce Committee and faces an uncertain path amid a narrow window before the scheduled Nov. 1 transition back to standard time. Senate leaders have shown limited momentum on the legislation during the current recess, and prior congressional efforts have stalled despite broad polling support for ending clock changes. President Trump has publicly backed the proposal, yet traders assign a 73% probability against permanence in 2026 due to the procedural hurdles, compressed timeline, and absence of Senate floor action. State-level contingency laws in 19 jurisdictions would activate only upon federal passage, further tying resolution to congressional outcomes before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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