No vacancy on the U.S. Supreme Court in 2026 aligns with current trader consensus due to the absence of retirement announcements or confirmed health concerns among the sitting justices. The two oldest members, Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito, have signaled continued service, with Alito stating in an early August 2026 interview that he is “here for another term.” Chief Justice John Roberts and other colleagues remain younger with no reported plans or adverse developments prompting departure. Earlier speculation around strategic timing ahead of midterms produced no concrete action, leaving the court’s composition stable for the calendar year under standard historical patterns for lifetime appointments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated21% chance
$19,031 Vol.
$19,031 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
21% chance
$19,031 Vol.
$19,031 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. No vacancy on the U.S. Supreme Court in 2026 aligns with current trader consensus due to the absence of retirement announcements or confirmed health concerns among the sitting justices. The two oldest members, Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito, have signaled continued service, with Alito stating in an early August 2026 interview that he is “here for another term.” Chief Justice John Roberts and other colleagues remain younger with no reported plans or adverse developments prompting departure. Earlier speculation around strategic timing ahead of midterms produced no concrete action, leaving the court’s composition stable for the calendar year under standard historical patterns for lifetime appointments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Dec 15, 2025, 7:18 PM ET
Volume
$19,031End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. No vacancy on the U.S. Supreme Court in 2026 aligns with current trader consensus due to the absence of retirement announcements or confirmed health concerns among the sitting justices. The two oldest members, Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito, have signaled continued service, with Alito stating in an early August 2026 interview that he is “here for another term.” Chief Justice John Roberts and other colleagues remain younger with no reported plans or adverse developments prompting departure. Earlier speculation around strategic timing ahead of midterms produced no concrete action, leaving the court’s composition stable for the calendar year under standard historical patterns for lifetime appointments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$19,031End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Dec 15, 2025, 7:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...No vacancy on the U.S. Supreme Court in 2026 aligns with current trader consensus due to the absence of retirement announcements or confirmed health concerns among the sitting justices. The two oldest members, Clarence Thomas and Samuel Alito, have signaled continued service, with Alito stating in an early August 2026 interview that he is “here for another term.” Chief Justice John Roberts and other colleagues remain younger with no reported plans or adverse developments prompting departure. Earlier speculation around strategic timing ahead of midterms produced no concrete action, leaving the court’s composition stable for the calendar year under standard historical patterns for lifetime appointments.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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