Trader consensus clusters around 115-125 million total House votes cast in the November 2026 midterms, reflecting the closely divided nature of turnout expectations three months out. Historical midterm participation has ranged from roughly 40-50 percent of the voting-eligible population, with 2022 producing elevated levels near 47 percent amid high polarization. Current generic ballot polling shows Democrats ahead by 6-7 points, paired with a measurable enthusiasm edge among Democratic-leaning voters and greater focus on economic conditions as a mobilizing issue. Competitive House races in multiple states, ongoing redistricting adjustments, and primary turnout trends through summer 2026 add uncertainty over base mobilization and swing-voter participation. Scheduled debates, final campaign spending surges, and any late shifts in voter sentiment on inflation or institutional trust could widen or narrow the distribution before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated120-125m 23%
115-120m 20%
110-115m 12%
125-130m 11%
$22,851 Vol.
$22,851 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
3%
85-90m
1%
90-95m
2%
95-100m
3%
100-105m
2%
105-110m
5%
110-115m
12%
115-120m
20%
120-125m
32%
125-130m
11%
130m+
11%
120-125m 23%
115-120m 20%
110-115m 12%
125-130m 11%
$22,851 Vol.
$22,851 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
<85m
$572 Vol.
3%
85-90m
$587 Vol.
1%
90-95m
$1,723 Vol.
2%
95-100m
$380 Vol.
3%
100-105m
$971 Vol.
2%
105-110m
$931 Vol.
5%
110-115m
$3,828 Vol.
12%
115-120m
$3,958 Vol.
20%
120-125m
$7,063 Vol.
32%
125-130m
$2,027 Vol.
11%
130m+
$812 Vol.
11%
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus clusters around 115-125 million total House votes cast in the November 2026 midterms, reflecting the closely divided nature of turnout expectations three months out. Historical midterm participation has ranged from roughly 40-50 percent of the voting-eligible population, with 2022 producing elevated levels near 47 percent amid high polarization. Current generic ballot polling shows Democrats ahead by 6-7 points, paired with a measurable enthusiasm edge among Democratic-leaning voters and greater focus on economic conditions as a mobilizing issue. Competitive House races in multiple states, ongoing redistricting adjustments, and primary turnout trends through summer 2026 add uncertainty over base mobilization and swing-voter participation. Scheduled debates, final campaign spending surges, and any late shifts in voter sentiment on inflation or institutional trust could widen or narrow the distribution before Election Day.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Market Opened: Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ET
Volume
$22,851End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.Trader consensus clusters around 115-125 million total House votes cast in the November 2026 midterms, reflecting the closely divided nature of turnout expectations three months out. Historical midterm participation has ranged from roughly 40-50 percent of the voting-eligible population, with 2022 producing elevated levels near 47 percent amid high polarization. Current generic ballot polling shows Democrats ahead by 6-7 points, paired with a measurable enthusiasm edge among Democratic-leaning voters and greater focus on economic conditions as a mobilizing issue. Competitive House races in multiple states, ongoing redistricting adjustments, and primary turnout trends through summer 2026 add uncertainty over base mobilization and swing-voter participation. Scheduled debates, final campaign spending surges, and any late shifts in voter sentiment on inflation or institutional trust could widen or narrow the distribution before Election Day.
The US House of Representatives midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
This market will resolve according to the total number of votes cast for U.S. House candidates in the 2026 US House of Representatives midterm elections.
Only votes cast for candidates for U.S. Representative (voting members of the House of Representatives from districts in the 50 states) will be considered; votes for Delegates and the Resident Commissioner will not be considered.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the US House of Representatives midterm elections do not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the 2026 midterm election results published by the US Clerk of the House (https://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/). If the 2026 midterm elections take place, and the Clerk of the House does not publish the results of this election by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source may be chosen.
Volume
$22,851End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Feb 20, 2026, 12:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus clusters around 115-125 million total House votes cast in the November 2026 midterms, reflecting the closely divided nature of turnout expectations three months out. Historical midterm participation has ranged from roughly 40-50 percent of the voting-eligible population, with 2022 producing elevated levels near 47 percent amid high polarization. Current generic ballot polling shows Democrats ahead by 6-7 points, paired with a measurable enthusiasm edge among Democratic-leaning voters and greater focus on economic conditions as a mobilizing issue. Competitive House races in multiple states, ongoing redistricting adjustments, and primary turnout trends through summer 2026 add uncertainty over base mobilization and swing-voter participation. Scheduled debates, final campaign spending surges, and any late shifts in voter sentiment on inflation or institutional trust could widen or narrow the distribution before Election Day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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