**Democratic-led articles of impeachment against then-DHS Secretary Kristi Noem were introduced in January 2026 but stalled in the Republican-controlled House Judiciary Committee.** The resolution cited obstruction of congressional oversight, violations of public trust tied to ICE enforcement actions, and alleged self-dealing in contract awards. With Republicans holding the majority, the measure lacked the votes to reach the floor. **President Trump removed Noem from office on March 5, 2026, replacing her with Sen. Markwayne Mullin.** This executive action ended her tenure months before the current date, rendering further congressional impeachment proceedings against her as a sitting official unnecessary and highly improbable for the balance of the year. No subsequent developments have revived active proceedings. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to the “No” outcome, consistent with historical patterns in which House majorities rarely advance impeachment against officials aligned with the president’s party absent extraordinary bipartisan consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKristi Noem impeached in 2026?
Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?
9% chance
$20,175 Vol.
$20,175 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
9% chance
$20,175 Vol.
$20,175 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.**Democratic-led articles of impeachment against then-DHS Secretary Kristi Noem were introduced in January 2026 but stalled in the Republican-controlled House Judiciary Committee.** The resolution cited obstruction of congressional oversight, violations of public trust tied to ICE enforcement actions, and alleged self-dealing in contract awards. With Republicans holding the majority, the measure lacked the votes to reach the floor.
**President Trump removed Noem from office on March 5, 2026, replacing her with Sen. Markwayne Mullin.** This executive action ended her tenure months before the current date, rendering further congressional impeachment proceedings against her as a sitting official unnecessary and highly improbable for the balance of the year. No subsequent developments have revived active proceedings.
Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to the “No” outcome, consistent with historical patterns in which House majorities rarely advance impeachment against officials aligned with the president’s party absent extraordinary bipartisan consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Market Opened: Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ET
Volume
$20,175End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.**Democratic-led articles of impeachment against then-DHS Secretary Kristi Noem were introduced in January 2026 but stalled in the Republican-controlled House Judiciary Committee.** The resolution cited obstruction of congressional oversight, violations of public trust tied to ICE enforcement actions, and alleged self-dealing in contract awards. With Republicans holding the majority, the measure lacked the votes to reach the floor.
**President Trump removed Noem from office on March 5, 2026, replacing her with Sen. Markwayne Mullin.** This executive action ended her tenure months before the current date, rendering further congressional impeachment proceedings against her as a sitting official unnecessary and highly improbable for the balance of the year. No subsequent developments have revived active proceedings.
Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to the “No” outcome, consistent with historical patterns in which House majorities rarely advance impeachment against officials aligned with the president’s party absent extraordinary bipartisan consensus.
This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.
Volume
$20,175End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jan 19, 2026, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Democratic-led articles of impeachment against then-DHS Secretary Kristi Noem were introduced in January 2026 but stalled in the Republican-controlled House Judiciary Committee.** The resolution cited obstruction of congressional oversight, violations of public trust tied to ICE enforcement actions, and alleged self-dealing in contract awards. With Republicans holding the majority, the measure lacked the votes to reach the floor. **President Trump removed Noem from office on March 5, 2026, replacing her with Sen. Markwayne Mullin.** This executive action ended her tenure months before the current date, rendering further congressional impeachment proceedings against her as a sitting official unnecessary and highly improbable for the balance of the year. No subsequent developments have revived active proceedings. Traders therefore assign overwhelming probability to the “No” outcome, consistent with historical patterns in which House majorities rarely advance impeachment against officials aligned with the president’s party absent extraordinary bipartisan consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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