New York’s July 2026 executive order imposing a one-year pause on permits for large data centers (50 MW or more) has become the central catalyst pushing the market-implied odds for a statewide moratorium to 69%. The order followed legislative passage of the Responsible Data Center Development Act and reflects mounting pressure from hyperscale AI infrastructure driving record electricity and water demand. Multiple states have introduced similar bills this session, while local governments in Michigan, Maryland, Washington, and elsewhere have already enacted temporary pauses, demonstrating broad regulatory momentum. Traders appear to weigh the risk of legal challenges or narrow definitions of “enactment” against the precedent NY has now set, with further state-level action or federal scrutiny possible before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
Will any state enact a data center moratorium by December 31?
67% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
67% chance
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. state enacts legislation that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.New York’s July 2026 executive order imposing a one-year pause on permits for large data centers (50 MW or more) has become the central catalyst pushing the market-implied odds for a statewide moratorium to 69%. The order followed legislative passage of the Responsible Data Center Development Act and reflects mounting pressure from hyperscale AI infrastructure driving record electricity and water demand. Multiple states have introduced similar bills this session, while local governments in Michigan, Maryland, Washington, and elsewhere have already enacted temporary pauses, demonstrating broad regulatory momentum. Traders appear to weigh the risk of legal challenges or narrow definitions of “enactment” against the precedent NY has now set, with further state-level action or federal scrutiny possible before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. state enacts legislation that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 7, 2026, 9:23 PM ET
Volume
$7,717End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 9:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. state enacts legislation that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.New York’s July 2026 executive order imposing a one-year pause on permits for large data centers (50 MW or more) has become the central catalyst pushing the market-implied odds for a statewide moratorium to 69%. The order followed legislative passage of the Responsible Data Center Development Act and reflects mounting pressure from hyperscale AI infrastructure driving record electricity and water demand. Multiple states have introduced similar bills this session, while local governments in Michigan, Maryland, Washington, and elsewhere have already enacted temporary pauses, demonstrating broad regulatory momentum. Traders appear to weigh the risk of legal challenges or narrow definitions of “enactment” against the precedent NY has now set, with further state-level action or federal scrutiny possible before year-end.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any U.S. state enacts legislation that establishes a statewide moratorium on new data centers by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying moratorium must temporarily or indefinitely prohibit, suspend, or pause the approval, permitting, construction, connection to the electrical grid or other utility infrastructure, or operation of new data centers, or a defined category of new data centers, within that state.
Qualifying legislation includes any state bill that establishes such a data center moratorium.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted into law in accordance with the applicable state’s constitutional and legal procedures. This generally requires final passage by the relevant state legislature and approval by the governor, becoming law without signature, or taking effect through a veto override or other lawful mechanism. Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official state legislative trackers, governor’s office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$7,717End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 7, 2026, 9:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...New York’s July 2026 executive order imposing a one-year pause on permits for large data centers (50 MW or more) has become the central catalyst pushing the market-implied odds for a statewide moratorium to 69%. The order followed legislative passage of the Responsible Data Center Development Act and reflects mounting pressure from hyperscale AI infrastructure driving record electricity and water demand. Multiple states have introduced similar bills this session, while local governments in Michigan, Maryland, Washington, and elsewhere have already enacted temporary pauses, demonstrating broad regulatory momentum. Traders appear to weigh the risk of legal challenges or narrow definitions of “enactment” against the precedent NY has now set, with further state-level action or federal scrutiny possible before year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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