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Politics·Trump

What will Trump say in August?

icon for What will Trump say in August?
Politics·Trump

What will Trump say in August?

Aug 31

Aug 31

$52,517 Vol.

Aug 31, 2026
Polymarket

$52,517 Vol.

Polymarket

Ass

$4,105 Vol.

33%

Red Card

$259 Vol.

49%

Death to America

$307 Vol.

31%

Sucker

$1,066 Vol.

72%

Slob

$614 Vol.

54%

Garbage

$7 Vol.

52%

Let Me Finish

$2 Vol.

62%

Potato

$114 Vol.

49%

Tango

$32 Vol.

54%

Crooked Joe

$63 Vol.

63%

Gay

$1,603 Vol.

32%

Central Casting

$5,990 Vol.

52%

Antifa

$2,821 Vol.

10%

Cocaine

$267 Vol.

39%

Movie Star

$0 Vol.

50%

Green New Scam

$83 Vol.

51%

State of the Art

$154 Vol.

54%

Soaking Wet

$9,459 Vol.

22%

Presidential Walk of Fame

$0 Vol.

50%

Future President

$408 Vol.

32%

Epstein

$104 Vol.

28%

Moscow

$2,016 Vol.

17%

Thomas Jefferson

$260 Vol.

52%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfTrump’s August 2026 schedule features multiple public roundtables, press gaggles, and policy announcements centered on mining investments, critical minerals supply chains, and diplomatic talks involving Iran and the Strait of Hormuz. As president during the run-up to the 2026 midterms, his remarks frequently address trade, border security, energy production, and legislative priorities such as crypto market structure bills. Traders monitor these events for recurring phrases tied to past rhetoric or current negotiations, with outcomes reflecting the likelihood of specific terms surfacing in official remarks or social media. Scheduled appearances through month-end, including follow-ups on recent executive actions, remain the primary near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volume
$52,517
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 6:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfTrump’s August 2026 schedule features multiple public roundtables, press gaggles, and policy announcements centered on mining investments, critical minerals supply chains, and diplomatic talks involving Iran and the Strait of Hormuz. As president during the run-up to the 2026 midterms, his remarks frequently address trade, border security, energy production, and legislative priorities such as crypto market structure bills. Traders monitor these events for recurring phrases tied to past rhetoric or current negotiations, with outcomes reflecting the likelihood of specific terms surfacing in official remarks or social media. Scheduled appearances through month-end, including follow-ups on recent executive actions, remain the primary near-term catalysts.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible.

Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution.

Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volume
$52,517
End Date
Aug 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 6:08 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will Trump say in August?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 35 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Shit" at 100%, followed by "State of the Union / State of Union" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will Trump say in August?" has generated $52.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will Trump say in August?," browse the 35 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will Trump say in August?" is "Shit" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "State of the Union / State of Union" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will Trump say in August?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.