Utah's 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in the market's 93.5% consensus for the Republican nominee. Celeste Maloy secured the Republican primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote in June 2026, following the departure of prior representative John Curtis to the Senate. Limited Democratic opposition and the district's consistent partisan voting patterns in recent cycles have reinforced trader expectations of continued Republican control. A national political shift of unusual magnitude, significant candidate-specific developments before November, or unusually high turnout among opposition voters represent the main variables that could narrow the margin, though current conditions indicate limited scope for such changes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedUT-03 House Election Winner
UT-03 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
NEW
NEW
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$4,448 Vol.
94%
Democratic Party
$2,411 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in the market's 93.5% consensus for the Republican nominee. Celeste Maloy secured the Republican primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote in June 2026, following the departure of prior representative John Curtis to the Senate. Limited Democratic opposition and the district's consistent partisan voting patterns in recent cycles have reinforced trader expectations of continued Republican control. A national political shift of unusual magnitude, significant candidate-specific developments before November, or unusually high turnout among opposition voters represent the main variables that could narrow the margin, though current conditions indicate limited scope for such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volume
$6,858End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Utah's 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in the market's 93.5% consensus for the Republican nominee. Celeste Maloy secured the Republican primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote in June 2026, following the departure of prior representative John Curtis to the Senate. Limited Democratic opposition and the district's consistent partisan voting patterns in recent cycles have reinforced trader expectations of continued Republican control. A national political shift of unusual magnitude, significant candidate-specific developments before November, or unusually high turnout among opposition voters represent the main variables that could narrow the margin, though current conditions indicate limited scope for such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the UT-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$6,858End Date
Nov 4, 2026Market Opened
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Utah's 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in the market's 93.5% consensus for the Republican nominee. Celeste Maloy secured the Republican primary with roughly two-thirds of the vote in June 2026, following the departure of prior representative John Curtis to the Senate. Limited Democratic opposition and the district's consistent partisan voting patterns in recent cycles have reinforced trader expectations of continued Republican control. A national political shift of unusual magnitude, significant candidate-specific developments before November, or unusually high turnout among opposition voters represent the main variables that could narrow the margin, though current conditions indicate limited scope for such changes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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