Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, shaped by sustained voter concerns over inflation, gas prices, and the administration's handling of the Iran conflict. Aggregators show limited movement in recent weeks, with issue-specific ratings remaining weak on the economy and foreign policy while immigration draws comparatively higher support. This stability has kept prediction market probabilities tightly clustered around 38, reflecting the narrow range of outcomes observed in national surveys. Scheduled economic data releases or diplomatic developments in the coming days could still produce measurable shifts before the September 11 measurement window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated38.0–38.4 47%
38.5–38.9 44%
37.5–37.9 33%
<37.5 27%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
<37.5
27%
37.5–37.9
33%
38.0–38.4
47%
38.5–38.9
44%
39.0–39.4
17%
39.5+
9%
38.0–38.4 47%
38.5–38.9 44%
37.5–37.9 33%
<37.5 27%
NEW
NEW
Sep 11, 2026
<37.5
$30 Vol.
27%
37.5–37.9
$0 Vol.
33%
38.0–38.4
$0 Vol.
47%
38.5–38.9
$0 Vol.
44%
39.0–39.4
$0 Vol.
17%
39.5+
$2 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, shaped by sustained voter concerns over inflation, gas prices, and the administration's handling of the Iran conflict. Aggregators show limited movement in recent weeks, with issue-specific ratings remaining weak on the economy and foreign policy while immigration draws comparatively higher support. This stability has kept prediction market probabilities tightly clustered around 38, reflecting the narrow range of outcomes observed in national surveys. Scheduled economic data releases or diplomatic developments in the coming days could still produce measurable shifts before the September 11 measurement window.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Market Opened: Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ET
Volume
$32End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, shaped by sustained voter concerns over inflation, gas prices, and the administration's handling of the Iran conflict. Aggregators show limited movement in recent weeks, with issue-specific ratings remaining weak on the economy and foreign policy while immigration draws comparatively higher support. This stability has kept prediction market probabilities tightly clustered around 38, reflecting the narrow range of outcomes observed in national surveys. Scheduled economic data releases or diplomatic developments in the coming days could still produce measurable shifts before the September 11 measurement window.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on September 11, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$32End Date
Sep 11, 2026Market Opened
Sep 7, 2026, 12:03 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place President Trump's job approval in the mid-to-high 30s as of early September 2026, shaped by sustained voter concerns over inflation, gas prices, and the administration's handling of the Iran conflict. Aggregators show limited movement in recent weeks, with issue-specific ratings remaining weak on the economy and foreign policy while immigration draws comparatively higher support. This stability has kept prediction market probabilities tightly clustered around 38, reflecting the narrow range of outcomes observed in national surveys. Scheduled economic data releases or diplomatic developments in the coming days could still produce measurable shifts before the September 11 measurement window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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