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icon for What will JD Vance say during RNC Convention?
Politics·Trump

What will JD Vance say during RNC Convention?

icon for What will JD Vance say during RNC Convention?
Politics·Trump

What will JD Vance say during RNC Convention?

NEW
Sep 9, 2026
Polymarket

$8,748 Vol.

Polymarket

America / American 20+ times

$140 Vol.

81%

Tax 7+ times

$0 Vol.

69%

Iran 3+ times

$0 Vol.

27%

Wife

$474 Vol.

73%

Hell

$337 Vol.

57%

Ass

$290 Vol.

12%

Charlie / Kirk

$243 Vol.

73%

Tax on Tips / Tax on Overtime

$1,308 Vol.

68%

China / Chinese

$561 Vol.

52%

Socialist / Socialism

$385 Vol.

87%

American Dream

$528 Vol.

81%

Manufacturing

$1,593 Vol.

75%

Illegal Alien

$298 Vol.

78%

2028 / Campaign

$201 Vol.

74%

Free Speech / Freedom of Speech

$171 Vol.

39%

Working Class / Middle Class

$721 Vol.

57%

America First

$333 Vol.

32%

Israel / Israeli

$395 Vol.

20%

AI / Artificial Intelligence

$331 Vol.

25%

-No Qualifying Event-

$439 Vol.

1%

JD Vance is scheduled to give remarks at the RNC Convention on September 9, 2026 at 10 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about JD Vance's remarks at the RNC Convention scheduled for September 9, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfVice President JD Vance is scheduled to deliver remarks at the Republican Party’s 2026 midterm convention in Dallas on September 9, four days from now, as part of efforts to rally support ahead of November elections. Trader positioning reflects expectations that the speech will emphasize core administration themes such as domestic manufacturing, tax policy, and repeated references to America amid ongoing midterm campaigning. Recent Vance appearances have highlighted industrial security as national security, job protection against foreign competition, and administration economic priorities, shaping probabilities around high-frequency terms like “America” and “tax.” Iran-related mentions carry lower implied odds given the focus on domestic issues, while personal references such as “wife” align with typical biographical framing in such events. Resolution depends strictly on the audio or video of the scheduled appearance.

JD Vance is scheduled to give remarks at the RNC Convention on September 9, 2026 at 10 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market is explicitly about JD Vance's remarks at the RNC Convention scheduled for September 9, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio/video of the event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfJD Vance is scheduled to give remarks at the RNC Convention on September 9, 2026 at 10 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about JD Vance's remarks at the RNC Convention scheduled for September 9, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volume
$8,748
End Date
Sep 10, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 6:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
JD Vance is scheduled to give remarks at the RNC Convention on September 9, 2026 at 10 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about JD Vance's remarks at the RNC Convention scheduled for September 9, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfVice President JD Vance is scheduled to deliver remarks at the Republican Party’s 2026 midterm convention in Dallas on September 9, four days from now, as part of efforts to rally support ahead of November elections. Trader positioning reflects expectations that the speech will emphasize core administration themes such as domestic manufacturing, tax policy, and repeated references to America amid ongoing midterm campaigning. Recent Vance appearances have highlighted industrial security as national security, job protection against foreign competition, and administration economic priorities, shaping probabilities around high-frequency terms like “America” and “tax.” Iran-related mentions carry lower implied odds given the focus on domestic issues, while personal references such as “wife” align with typical biographical framing in such events. Resolution depends strictly on the audio or video of the scheduled appearance.

JD Vance is scheduled to give remarks at the RNC Convention on September 9, 2026 at 10 AM ET.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".

This market is explicitly about JD Vance's remarks at the RNC Convention scheduled for September 9, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.

If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio/video of the event.

For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdfJD Vance is scheduled to give remarks at the RNC Convention on September 9, 2026 at 10 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if JD Vance says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about JD Vance's remarks at the RNC Convention scheduled for September 9, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by September 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Volume
$8,748
End Date
Sep 10, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 3, 2026, 6:38 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will JD Vance say during RNC Convention?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Socialist / Socialism" at 87%, followed by "America / American 20+ times" at 81%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 87¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will JD Vance say during RNC Convention?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 3, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will JD Vance say during RNC Convention?," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will JD Vance say during RNC Convention?" is "Socialist / Socialism" at 87%, meaning the market assigns a 87% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "America / American 20+ times" at 81%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will JD Vance say during RNC Convention?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.