Trujillo’s October 4, 2026 mayoral race features a fragmented field of more than a dozen registered candidates, producing closely matched market prices among the leaders. Víctor Alfonso Castañeda Carrera holds the highest implied probability at 40 percent, followed by incumbent Mario Colberth Reyna Rodríguez at 33.1 percent and Luis Ángel Zavala Espino at 29.8 percent, with the remainder of the field below 25 percent. A mid-August poll showed Reyna ahead on first-preference support, yet the large number of contenders and the prohibition on immediate re-election keep the outcome open. No single dominant development has shifted consensus in recent weeks, leaving trader pricing sensitive to any late polling movement or coalition signals before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWilmar Alfredo Moreno Fuentes 20%
Benjamín Kalhet Reyes Rebaza 17%
Víctor Robert De La Cruz Rosas 16%
Carlos Enrique Alva Rojas 12%

Wilmar Alfredo Moreno Fuentes
20%

Benjamín Kalhet Reyes Rebaza
17%

Víctor Robert De La Cruz Rosas
16%

Carlos Enrique Alva Rojas
12%

Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera
23%

José Rodar Miranda Prado
9%

Alfredo Manuel Galindo Peralta
8%

Milton Marcelino Ramírez Herrera
7%

Jesús Alverto Velásquez Reyna
7%

Mario Colberth Reyna Rodríguez
5%

José María Alberto Arcila Corales
5%

Raúl Edgardo Aldana Dioses
5%

Luis Ángel Zavala Espino
4%

Gheyli Katherin Tirado Rafael
10%

Víctor Julio León Álvarez
28%

Víctor Alfonso Castañeda Carrera
39%
Wilmar Alfredo Moreno Fuentes 20%
Benjamín Kalhet Reyes Rebaza 17%
Víctor Robert De La Cruz Rosas 16%
Carlos Enrique Alva Rojas 12%

Wilmar Alfredo Moreno Fuentes
20%

Benjamín Kalhet Reyes Rebaza
17%

Víctor Robert De La Cruz Rosas
16%

Carlos Enrique Alva Rojas
12%

Roy Charlie Arbaiza Corcuera
23%

José Rodar Miranda Prado
9%

Alfredo Manuel Galindo Peralta
8%

Milton Marcelino Ramírez Herrera
7%

Jesús Alverto Velásquez Reyna
7%

Mario Colberth Reyna Rodríguez
5%

José María Alberto Arcila Corales
5%

Raúl Edgardo Aldana Dioses
5%

Luis Ángel Zavala Espino
4%

Gheyli Katherin Tirado Rafael
10%

Víctor Julio León Álvarez
28%

Víctor Alfonso Castañeda Carrera
39%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Trujillo as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Trujillo as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trujillo’s October 4, 2026 mayoral race features a fragmented field of more than a dozen registered candidates, producing closely matched market prices among the leaders. Víctor Alfonso Castañeda Carrera holds the highest implied probability at 40 percent, followed by incumbent Mario Colberth Reyna Rodríguez at 33.1 percent and Luis Ángel Zavala Espino at 29.8 percent, with the remainder of the field below 25 percent. A mid-August poll showed Reyna ahead on first-preference support, yet the large number of contenders and the prohibition on immediate re-election keep the outcome open. No single dominant development has shifted consensus in recent weeks, leaving trader pricing sensitive to any late polling movement or coalition signals before election day.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions